

Conclusion (quick take)
IMAB just printed a “climax”-volume day yet actually closed a hair below its intraday VWAP (~2.25vsclose 2.23).
With an RSI-14 of 90.7 (extreme over-bought), price still 31 % above its 5-day mean, and the close slipping under VWAP, history says the next 48 hours skew toward an early fade into the 2.00 – 2.15 band before any fresh attempt to re-challenge Thursday’s high (2.68).Expectanoisy 1.90 – $ 2.45 box, with downside tests slightly more likely than a straight-up continuation squeeze.
Key VWAP & momentum metrics
Metric (6 Jun reference) | Value | Signal | Comment |
---|---|---|---|
Close vs 1-day VWAP | 2.23vs≈ 2.25 (-0.9 %) | Slightly below fair value | Sub-VWAP close after a +25 % session hints at profit-taking pressure |
Close vs 5-day mean price | 2.23vs 1.70 (+31 %) | Stretched | Not yet parabolic like MODV/BW, but rich |
1-day volume | 3.24 M sh | ≈7 × 30-day avg (0.46 M) | “Volume climax” often precedes digestion |
RSI-14 | 90.7 | Extremely over-bought | Pull-backs usually start >80 |
MACD histogram | +0.24 | Momentum still positive | Dip-buyers lurking |
ATR-14 | $ 0.23 | ≈10 % daily “routine” swing | Sizes risk |
12
VWAP approximation = (High 2.68+Low 1.83 + Close 2.23)÷3≈ 2.25.
48-hour scenario map
Scenario | Prob. | Tape tells | Likely path | Target zone |
---|---|---|---|---|
1. Post-climax fade | 45 % | Stays sub-VWAP ≥30 min | Slides to 2.02(VWAP–ATR)→ 1.90 gap-fill | Buy/cover in 1.90– 2.05 |
2. VWAP test & hold | 35 % | Quick flush bought, reclaims VWAP | Chops 2.14– 2.40 | Scalp both sides of range |
3. Fresh squeeze | 20 % | Volume >4 M, holds >$ 2.30 | Pops 2.48(VWAP+ATR)→ 2.70 (VWAP+2 ATR) | Fade 2.55– 2.70 unless VWAP rises with price |
Translating levels into a trade plan
Trade idea | Entry trigger | Initial stop | First target | Stretch target | R : R |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Long the dip | Flush into $ 2.00 ± 0.05 → 5-min close back above VWAP | $ 1.88 | $ 2.25 | 2.38– 2.45 | ~1 : 3 |
Fade the pop | Spike to 2.55– 2.70 that fails to hold VWAP on way down | $ 2.82 | $ 2.30 | $ 2.05 | ~1 : 2.5 |
Execution checklist
- Keep real-time VWAP on 1- & 5-min charts; bias flips with sustained closes above/below it.
- ATR = $ 0.23 ⇒ a full ATR adverse move ≈ 10 %; size trades so that risk ≤ 1 % of account equity.
- Scale out quickly—small-cap biotechs often retrace an entire move in one candle.
- Respect binary risk (China ADR + clinical headlines); overnight holds add gap risk far larger than ATR.
Bottom line
The chart argues for buying controlled flushes into 2.00 – 2.10 and/or fading exhaustion pushes above $ 2.55, always tethered to VWAP. Volatility is high but not yet parabolic; trade the levels, keep stops tight, and let VWAP be your referee over the next two sessions. Good luck!
