AVD yearly prediction

**American Vanguard Corporation (AVD) Stock Forecast**: Over the next 12 months, AVD is expected to experience a moderate decline in its stock price, with a predicted price range of $7.47 to $8.06. This forecast is based on the average yearly growth rate of the stock in the past 10 years, which indicates a general downward trend. However, it's important to note that stock market predictions are subject to uncertainties and risks, and actual outcomes may vary significantly from these projections.

1. **Short-Term Trend**: In the short term, the stock is expected to fall by approximately 11.36% over the next 3 months, with a 90% probability of trading between $6.77 and $11.98. This forecast is based on the current short-term trend and technical indicators such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which suggests that the stock is currently oversold.
2. **Financial Performance**: American Vanguard's financial performance has been under pressure, with a negative net income CAGR of -35.8% over the past 3 years. This indicates a decline in profitability, which could negatively impact investor sentiment and the stock price.
3. **Market Conditions**: The broader market conditions, including economic growth and inflation, can significantly impact stock prices. Recent forecasts suggest U.S. economic growth of about 2.0% in 2024, which could influence AVD's performance.
4. **Long-Term Prospects**: Over the long term, AVD has a history of rising by an average of 15.1% based on the past 34 years of stock performance. This historical accuracy of 52.94% suggests that there is potential for growth, especially if the company's fundamentals improve.
5. **Analyst Ratings**: The average price target for AVD over the next 12 months is $14.00, indicating a significant upside potential from the current price. This suggests that some analysts are optimistic about the stock's future performance.

In conclusion, while the short-term forecast for AVD is negative, the long-term prospects are more favorable. However, investors should closely monitor the company's financial performance, market conditions, and any strategic initiatives that could impact the stock's trajectory.