Are DAL's earnings showing long-term growth potential?
3/31/2025 05:36pm
**Delta Air Lines (DAL) does not appear to have strong long-term growth potential based on its current earnings and market indicators.** Here's why:
1. **Recent Financial Performance**: Delta Air Lines reported a net income of $843 million and total revenue of $15.56 billion for the most recent quarter ending in December 2024. The diluted EPS for the same period was $1.29, which represents a significant year-over-year decline of 59.18%. This decline in EPS suggests that the company's earnings are currently under pressure.
|code|Ticker|Name|Date|Net Income YoY|Total Revenue YoY|Diluted EPS YoY|market_code|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|DAL|DAL.N|Delta Air Lines|2024 Q1|110.19283746556474|7.751391174856964|110.52631578947367|169|
|DAL|DAL.N|Delta Air Lines|2024 Q2|-28.57142857142857|6.93285402490692|-29.225352112676063|169|
|DAL|DAL.N|Delta Air Lines|2024 Q3|14.801444043321299|1.2202995867768593|14.534883720930234|169|
|DAL|DAL.N|Delta Air Lines|2024 Q4|-58.615611192930785|9.39323630738944|-59.17721518987342|169|
|code|Ticker|Name|Date|Net Income YoY|Net Income|market_code|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|DAL|DAL.N|Delta Air Lines|2024 Q1|110.19283746556474|3.7E7|169|
|DAL|DAL.N|Delta Air Lines|2024 Q2|-28.57142857142857|1.305E9|169|
|DAL|DAL.N|Delta Air Lines|2024 Q3|14.801444043321299|1.272E9|169|
|DAL|DAL.N|Delta Air Lines|2024 Q4|-58.615611192930785|8.43E8|169|
|code|Ticker|Name|Date|Total Revenue YoY|Total Revenue|market_code|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|DAL|DAL.N|Delta Air Lines|2024 Q1|7.751391174856964|1.3748E10|169|
|DAL|DAL.N|Delta Air Lines|2024 Q2|6.93285402490692|1.6658E10|169|
|DAL|DAL.N|Delta Air Lines|2024 Q3|1.2202995867768593|1.5677E10|169|
|DAL|DAL.N|Delta Air Lines|2024 Q4|9.39323630738944|1.5559E10|169|
|code|Ticker|Name|Date|Diluted EPS YoY|Diluted EPS|market_code|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|DAL|DAL.N|Delta Air Lines|2024 Q1|110.52631578947367|0.06|169|
|DAL|DAL.N|Delta Air Lines|2024 Q2|-29.225352112676063|2.01|169|
|DAL|DAL.N|Delta Air Lines|2024 Q3|14.534883720930234|1.97|169|
|DAL|DAL.N|Delta Air Lines|2024 Q4|-59.17721518987342|1.29|169|
2. **Market Analysts' Sentiments**: The consensus rating for Delta Air Lines is a "Strong Buy" with an average analyst price target of $76. However, this does not necessarily indicate long-term growth potential, as price targets are based on short-term forecasts.
3. **Earnings Expectations**: Analysts expect the company to report EPS of $0.40 in its upcoming earnings release, which would represent a year-over-year growth of 37.78%. This expectation seems optimistic given the recent decline in EPS and the current market conditions.
4. **Guidance and Outlook**: Delta Air Lines has revised its guidance for the first quarter of 2025, projecting a decrease in sales growth expectations and a reduction in operating margins. This guidance suggests that the company is facing near-term challenges that could impact its long-term growth potential.
5. **Industry and Economic Factors**: The airline industry is highly sensitive to economic conditions and market fluctuations. The ongoing impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic, combined with geopolitical tensions and fuel price volatility, create a challenging environment for Delta Air Lines to achieve sustained long-term growth.
In conclusion, while Delta Air Lines has made a strong performance in the recent past, as evidenced by its record-breaking performance in the December quarter, the current earnings figures, along with the expectations and market conditions, do not strongly suggest a robust long-term growth potential for the company. Investors should closely monitor the company's performance and the industry's dynamics when assessing its future growth prospects.