AMR is surging in pre-market trading. Is it a good buy?
8/11/2025 01:50pm
**Alpha Metallurgical Resources (AMR) is not a good buy at this moment**, and the pre-market surge is likely not indicative of sustained long-term growth. Here's why:
1. **Weak Fund Flow Indicators**: The net fund flow for AMR is negative, with a net outflow of $2.18 million. Additionally, there are net outflows from extra-large and block orders, which could indicate a lack of investor confidence.
|code|Ticker|Name|Date|Net Fund Flow|Net Fund Flow (Block Order)|market_code|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|AMR|AMR.N|Alpha Metallurgical|20250106|-198232.1939|-123743.6116|169|
|AMR|AMR.N|Alpha Metallurgical|20250107|-367775.59|-367775.59|169|
|AMR|AMR.N|Alpha Metallurgical|20250108|-767149.3483|-767149.3483|169|
|AMR|AMR.N|Alpha Metallurgical|20250110|-1267188.9464|-1218257.2883|169|
|AMR|AMR.N|Alpha Metallurgical|20250113|2827247.4555|2796526.8729|169|
|AMR|AMR.N|Alpha Metallurgical|20250114|1371363.7079|1508526.5602|169|
|AMR|AMR.N|Alpha Metallurgical|20250115|-465787.3649|-330656.7295|169|
|AMR|AMR.N|Alpha Metallurgical|20250116|-405746.7656|-490605.6879|169|
|AMR|AMR.N|Alpha Metallurgical|20250117|-1011628.8718|-999890.3607|169|
|AMR|AMR.N|Alpha Metallurgical|20250121|-130530.9498|-114696.2389|169|
2. **Technical Indicators Point to Caution**: The stock is currently in a "Strong Sell" technical position. The MACD is at 2.25, KDJ is at 90.19, and RSI is at 80.75, all of which are typically considered overbought levels and suggest a potential pullback.
|code|Ticker|Name|Date|bollinger lower band|RSI|KDJ|MACD|market_code|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|AMR|AMR.N|Alpha Metallurgical|20250808|106.6496|80.7486|90.1940|2.2515|169|
3. **Market Sentiment Remains Skeptical**: Despite a recent surge in price, investor sentiment is cautious. The stock's technical patterns indicate a "Rising Window," but this is accompanied by a "Long Upper Shadow," which can be a sign of potential downside movement.
|code|Ticker|Name|Date|RSI|KDJ|MACD|market_code|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|AMR|AMR.N|Alpha Metallurgical|20250808|80.7486|90.1940|2.2515|169|
4. **Earnings Report Reveals Challenges**: AMR's recent earnings report showed a significant drop in net income and revenue, with a net loss of $4.95 million and a revenue decline of 31.4%. The company also faces challenges due to weak coal demand and global economic slowdown.
5. **Strategic Moves May Not Assure Long-Term Growth**: While the company has made strategic moves like restarting a share buyback program and securing commitments for metallurgical coal, these may not immediately translate to improved financials.
In conclusion, the pre-market surge for AMR is not supported by strong fund flow indicators or technical patterns that suggest long-term growth. The company's recent earnings report and market conditions highlight ongoing challenges. Therefore, it is not a good time to buy AMR, and investors should exercise caution.