Is BKNG a good buy?
3/15/2025 01:51am
**Booking Holdings (BKNG) appears to be a strong candidate for investment**, and here's why:
1. **Consistent Financial Performance**: BKNG has demonstrated robust financial results, with a reported increase in revenue and net income for the year ending December 31, 2024. The company's gross profit margin stands at 85.87%, indicating efficient pricing power and operational effectiveness.
2. **Strategic Initiatives**: The company's Transformation Program is aimed at cutting costs and freeing up capital for product development, which is a positive signal for long-term growth. The program has positioned BKNG to potentially achieve significant growth in gross bookings, revenue, and adjusted earnings per share.
3. **Market Position and Growth Prospects**: As the largest online travel company with 28.3 million listings, BKNG has a significant market presence. The company's outlook for 2025 is positive, with expectations of over 8% foreign exchange-neutral growth in gross bookings and revenue, and over 15% FXN growth in earnings per share by 2025.
4. **Analyst Confidence**: Multiple analysts have maintained positive ratings on BKNG, with price targets indicating potential upside from current levels. For instance, UBS maintains a Buy rating with a target of $5,960, while Evercore ISI maintains an Outperform rating with a target of $5,500.
5. **Dividend and Share Buyback Program**: BKNG has announced a dividend increase and a share buyback program, which can be attractive to income-focused investors and demonstrate management's confidence in the company's future cash flows.
However, it's important to consider the following:
1. **Market Conditions and Volatility**: The travel sector can be sensitive to economic conditions and external factors, such as tariffs, which can impact investor sentiment. BKNG's stock experienced a decline despite strong financials due to broader market volatility.
2. **Valuation Concerns**: With a high market capitalization of $162.4 billion and trading near its 52-week high, there are concerns about whether the stock is overvalued. Deep-pocketed investors have adopted a bearish approach, indicating that the substantial move in BKNG usually suggests something big is about to happen.
In conclusion, while there are potential risks and considerations, the strong financial performance, strategic initiatives, and positive analyst sentiment suggest that BKNG could be a good buy for investors looking for stable income and growth potential. As with any investment, it's important to consider your individual risk tolerance and investment goals.