Is SRFM a good buy
1/25/2025 02:32am
**Surf Air Mobility (SRFM) appears to be a complex investment opportunity with both potential risks and opportunities**, as evidenced by the following analysis:
1. **Financial Performance**:
- **Revenue Growth**: Surf Air Mobility has experienced significant revenue growth, with a 29.22% year-over-year increase in total revenue for Q3 2024. This indicates a strong market demand for its services.
- **Net Income and EPS**: The company reported a net loss of $12.23 million and a diluted EPS of -$0.94 for Q3 2024. The net loss is a concern, but the EPS indicates that the company is losing more than it is earning per share.
- **Future Outlook**: The company's 3-year revenue CAGR is 198.44%, and the 3-year net income CAGR is 237.13%. These figures suggest that the company is growing rapidly, which could be promising for future profitability.
|Ticker|Name|Date|Total Revenue|Net Income|Diluted EPS|code|market_code|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|SRFM.N|Surf Air|2023 Q4|2.6836E7|-1.10994E8||SRFM|169|
|SRFM.N|Surf Air|2024 Q1|3.0624E7|-3.6965E7|-0.48|SRFM|169|
|SRFM.N|Surf Air|2024 Q2|3.2366E7|-2.6983E7|-0.33|SRFM|169|
|SRFM.N|Surf Air|2024 Q3|2.8386E7|-1.2225E7|-0.94|SRFM|169|
|Ticker|Name|Date|Net Income YoY|Total Revenue YoY|Diluted EPS YoY|code|market_code|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|SRFM.N|Surf Air|20231231|-365.9306523381748|355.1560379918589||SRFM|169|
|SRFM.N|Surf Air|20240331|-79.67724687697468|456.0922462320683|67.12328767123287|SRFM|169|
|SRFM.N|Surf Air|20240630|39.391284815813115|422.453591606134|89.49044585987261|SRFM|169|
|SRFM.N|Surf Air|20240930|83.61457732981276|29.221104383848502|90.15706806282722|SRFM|169|
2. **Technical Analysis**:
- **Moving Averages**: The stock's moving averages are mixed, with the 5-day and 20-day moving averages at $4 and $4.66, respectively. This suggests that the stock is trading in a narrow range.
- **MACD and RSI**: The MACD is slightly negative at -0.23, and the RSI is at 64.86. These indicators suggest that the stock is neither overbought nor oversold.
- **BOLL**: The BOLL value is $4.66, which is close to the current trading price, indicating potential for volatility.
|Ticker|Name|Date|Moving Average|code|market_code|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|SRFM.N|Surf Air|20250124|3.9932|SRFM|169|
|Ticker|Name|Date|Boll|RSI|KDJ|MACD|code|market_code|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|SRFM.N|Surf Air|20250124|4.6583|64.8647|78.7530|-0.2293|SRFM|169|
3. **Market Sentiment and Analyst Ratings**:
- **Analyst Price Target**: The current price target is between $2.2 and $4, which is lower than the current trading price, suggesting limited upside potential from an analyst perspective.
- **Insider Activity**: Sudhin Shahani, a director, recently purchased shares, indicating confidence in the company's potential.
- **Short Interest**: Short interest in the stock has decreased by 27.2% as of December 31, 2024, which could be a sign of improved sentiment.
4. **Strategic Developments**:
- **Electric Aircraft Development**: The company is partnering with AeroTEC and magniX to develop hybrid and all-electric engines for the Cessna Grand Caravan. This strategic move could position the company for future growth in sustainable aviation.
- **Mergers and Acquisitions**: The company has recently merged with Southern Airways Express, which could accelerate the start of electric Grand Caravan operations.
In conclusion, while Surf Air Mobility shows potential for growth with its strategic developments and insider confidence, the negative net income and the analyst price target below the current price suggest caution. Investors should weigh these factors against their investment strategy and risk tolerance before deciding whether SRFM is a good buy for them.