The sentiment for XAU/USD, or Gold Spot US Dollar, is currently leaning towards a bullish outlook. Here's a detailed analysis:
- Recent Price Movement: The XAU/USD pair has seen a recent uptick, with prices pushing closer to the $2,524-2,525 supply zone1. This movement suggests a positive sentiment among traders.
- Market Sentiment: The sentiment among traders is bullish, with recent data indicating that traders are now net-long Gold for the first time since July 19, 20242. This shift in sentiment could be a precursor to further price increases.
- Technical Indicators: Technical indicators on the daily chart show buyers adding long positions, and the pair holds above the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of the April/May rally at $2,326.501. This support level, along with positive technical indicators, suggests a bullish trend.
- Fundamental Factors: Gold's price is influenced by various factors, including inflation, interest rates, and geopolitical risks. Recent inflation data from the US has shown persistent inflationary pressures, which can be supportive of gold prices1. Additionally, speculation about a potential US rate cut in September is driving gold prices higher3.
- Contrarian Sentiment: It's important to note that contrarian sentiment suggests that gold prices may continue to rise. With a net-long position among traders, and a higher percentage of traders being net-short, the sentiment is currently leaning bullish3.
In conclusion, the sentiment for XAU/USD is bullish, with technical indicators and market sentiment pointing towards a positive outlook for gold prices.