Is a good buy nvcr right now?
7/11/2024 04:25pm
**NovoCure (NVCR) does not appear to be a compelling buy at this time**, and there are several reasons for this conclusion:
1. **Technical Indicators Suggest Caution**: The stock's technical indicators show a bearish trend. The closing price on July 10, 2024, was $16.85, which is below the 5-Day ($16.66), 10-Day ($17.04), and 50-Day ($19.18) moving averages. This indicates a short-term downtrend. Additionally, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 37.99, which is close to the oversold threshold of 30, suggesting that the stock may be undervalued but also potentially exhausted.
|Ticker|Name|Support Level|Resistance Level|Closing Price|Date|code|market_code|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|NVCR.O|Novocure|16.4100|17.1200|16.85|20240710|NVCR|185|
|Ticker|Name|50-Day Moving Average|5-Day Moving Average|10-Day Moving Average|Date|code|market_code|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|NVCR.O|Novocure|19.1847|16.6620|17.0380|20240710|NVCR|185|
2. **Recent Performance and Analyst Sentiments**: The stock has experienced a downward trend, with a 52-week low of $10.88 and a high of $83.37. Analysts have given mixed ratings, with a consensus of "Buy" but with some holding and sell ratings as well. The average price target is $26.40, which is significantly higher than the current price, suggesting potential upside, but also indicating that the stock is currently trading at a discount.
3. **Fundamental Analysis**: The company's financials show a net loss of $38.76 million and a diluted EPS of -$0.36 for the quarter ending March 31, 2024. The net income year-on-year growth rate is positive at 26.95%, and the revenue year-on-year growth rate is 13.36%, which are encouraging signs of growth. However, the diluted EPS quarter-over-quarter growth rate is -$0.36, which is a decline.
|Ticker|Name|Total Revenue|Net Income|Diluted EPS|Date|code|market_code|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|NVCR.O|Novocure|1.38503E8|-3.876E7|-0.36|2024 Q1|NVCR|185|
|Ticker|Name|Net Income year-on-year growth rate|Total Revenue year-on-year growth rate|Diluted EPS QoQ growth rate|Date|code|market_code|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|NVCR.O|Novocure|26.951998643071185|13.357941431634773||20240331|NVCR|185|
4. **Market Sentiment and Forecasts**: The broader market sentiment is cautious, with a sell signal from the 3-month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) and a general sell signal from the relation between the two moving averages where the long-term average is above the short-term average. There is also a prediction of a 59.07% upside based on the average price target, but this is based on a 12-month forecast and does not necessarily reflect current market conditions.
5. **Recent Company Developments**: NovoCure has secured new debt financing, which could be seen as a positive sign for its future growth. However, the company's financial results for the first quarter of 2024 show a net revenue increase but a net loss.
In conclusion, while there is potential for growth based on analyst price targets, the current technical indicators and financial performance suggest caution. The stock is currently trading below key moving averages, and the RSI is nearing oversold territory, which could indicate a potential rebound. However, the mixed analyst ratings and the recent downward trend make it difficult to recommend a buy at this time. Investors should consider their investment horizon and risk tolerance before making a decision.