Is HTZ worth purchasing?
4/17/2025 02:45pm
**Hertz Global (HTZ) faces significant challenges and uncertainties**, and while there are some positive developments, the overall picture suggests a cautious approach may be warranted:
1. **Financial Health Concerns**: Hertz is dealing with a negative net margin of -31.63% and a severe Altman Z-score of -0.1, indicating a high bankruptcy risk within the next two years. The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 120.31, reflecting a heavy debt load.
2. **Strategic Investments and Potential Turnaround**: The recent investment from Pershing Square Holdings, led by Bill Ackman, could signal a strategic shift and potential recovery. Pershing Square's stake represents a significant endorsement and may lead to operational improvements.
3. **Market Sentiment and Stock Performance**: Despite the challenges, Hertz's stock has seen a notable increase following the Pershing Square investment, with a 56% surge in price. However, the consensus rating from analysts is "Sell" with an average price target of $2.7, suggesting skepticism about a short-term rebound.
|code|Ticker|Name|Date|Closing Price|Support Level|Resistance Level|market_code|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|HTZ|HTZ.O|Hertz Global|20250416|5.71|4.0550|5.7700|185|
|code|Ticker|Name|Date|Net Fund Flow|Net Fund Flow (Block Order)|market_code|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|HTZ|HTZ.O|Hertz Global|20250106|-328335.0259|-383534.5955|185|
|HTZ|HTZ.O|Hertz Global|20250107|417166.4434|252763.6638|185|
|HTZ|HTZ.O|Hertz Global|20250108|424470.2981|351953.056|185|
|HTZ|HTZ.O|Hertz Global|20250110|446571.8317|310328.2203|185|
|HTZ|HTZ.O|Hertz Global|20250113|2250040.8819|2003748.4749|185|
|HTZ|HTZ.O|Hertz Global|20250114|574809.0646|555626.3234|185|
|HTZ|HTZ.O|Hertz Global|20250115|-1257871.8775|-1194762.3762|185|
|HTZ|HTZ.O|Hertz Global|20250116|344215.7889|355185.6552|185|
|HTZ|HTZ.O|Hertz Global|20250117|961044.4767|974688.907|185|
|HTZ|HTZ.O|Hertz Global|20250121|-130134.8131|-130623.5111|185|
|code|Ticker|Name|Date|Moving Average|market_code|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|HTZ|HTZ.O|Hertz Global|20250416|4.2810|185|
|code|Ticker|Name|Date|Boll|RSI|KDJ|MACD|market_code|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|HTZ|HTZ.O|Hertz Global|20250416|3.8930|77.1687|75.9218|0.2555|185|
4. **Operational and Industry Challenges**: Hertz's financial performance has been under pressure, with a 5-year EBITDA growth rate of -17.2% and a revenue growth rate of -15.4%. The car rental industry is complex, with fluctuating demand and intense competition.
In conclusion, while the Pershing Square investment and recent stock price surge are positive signs, the underlying financial health issues and industry challenges are substantial. Investors should carefully consider their risk tolerance and investment horizon before deciding whether HTZ is a suitable purchase. Given the mixed signals and the consensus rating, a cautious approach, perhaps limited to a small position or as a speculative investment, might be more prudent until more positive fundamental changes are evident.