Show me tariff-resilient stocks/ETFs

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Show me tariff-resilient stocks/ETFs.

4/7/2025 03:11am

Aime

The deep research logic is organized as follows: 

Okay, the user is asking for tariff-resilient stocks and ETFs. Let me start by recalling the references provided. 

First, looking at the references, there are several ETFs mentioned in the background. For example, the Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLP) is highlighted as performing well despite market downturns. The Vanguard Consumer Staples ETF (VDC) and iShares U.S. Consumer Staples ETF (IYK) are also noted. These are all part of the consumer staples sector, which is considered defensive and less affected by tariffs since many products are domestically produced.

Then, there's the ProShares Long Online/Short Stores ETF (CLIX), which targets e-commerce companies. Since e-commerce might be less reliant on international supply chains, this could be resilient. Also, the article mentions that consumer staples ETFs like XLP have outperformed discretionary ones, which are more vulnerable to tariffs.

In the references, there are specific stocks listed in Query 1, like Ingles Markets (IMKTA), Kraft Heinz (KHC), and others in the consumer staples sector. These have low P/E and P/B ratios, indicating they might be undervalued and resilient.

The user's profile shows interest in sectors like AI and China, but the question is about tariffs. However, the user's strategy is news-driven, so they might appreciate ETFs that are less exposed to international trade. The consumer staples sector fits here because it's domestic-focused.

Also, the references mention that tariffs can lead to inflation, so commodities like gold or energy might be good hedges. The article from Reference 34 suggests gold as a hedge against inflation, which is relevant.

The user might also be interested in ETFs that are not directly affected by tariffs. For example, the Fidelity MSCI Consumer Staples Index ETF (FSTA) is mentioned as having a low expense ratio and high dividend yield, making it attractive.

I should structure the answer by categorizing the ETFs and stocks into sectors like consumer staples, commodities, and others. Highlighting why each is resilient to tariffs, citing the references where possible. Also, mention the stocks from Query 1 as specific examples.

Need to ensure that each recommendation is backed by the references provided. For example, when mentioning XLP, cite Reference 4 and 8. For commodities, cite Reference 34 and 40. Also, include the specific stocks from Query 1 with their financial metrics.

Make sure to follow the format requirements: use bold headings, citations in brackets, and include visualizations for the queries mentioned. The user's profile indicates a preference for news-driven strategies, so emphasizing ETFs that have recently outperformed due to tariff news would be relevant.

Check if all the references are correctly cited. For example, the consumer staples ETFs are covered in References 4-7, and the commodities in References 14, 34, 35. The specific stocks from Query 1 are in Reference 1.

Also, the user's history shows interest in Alibaba and JD, but since the question is about tariffs, focus on sectors less affected by them. However, if there are ETFs in the user's interested sectors that are resilient, mention them. But the references don't show much on AI or China ETFs, so stick to the provided data.

Finally, conclude with a summary that ties all the recommendations together, emphasizing diversification into defensive sectors and commodities.

Tariff-Resilient Stocks & ETFs: A Strategic Approach
Tariffs create sector-specific risks, but defensive strategies can mitigate these impacts. Below, we highlight stocks and ETFs positioned to thrive in a tariff-constrained environment, supported by empirical data and market trends.

1. Consumer Staples: The Core Hedge

Consumer staples are domestically oriented and less exposed to import tariffs. Companies in this sector also benefit from stable demand during inflationary periods.

Top Picks

Ingles Markets (IMKTA): A grocery retailer with a P/E of 15 and P/B of 0.76, trading at a discount to historical averages ¹.
Kraft Heinz (KHC): Food products giant with a P/E of 12.91 and P/B of 0.72, leveraging brand loyalty to offset cost pressures ¹.
Consumer Staples ETFs:
- XLP (Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund): Up 3.6% YTD in 2025, outperforming discretionary peers ²³.
- VDC (Vanguard Consumer Staples ETF): Low-cost exposure with a 2.39% dividend yield ⁴.
- FSTA (Fidelity MSCI Consumer Staples Index ETF): 100% allocation to staples, including Costco and Procter & Gamble ⁵.

sector is commodities or consumer staples; p/e ratio < 15; p/b ratio < 2(64)

Last Price($)	Last Change%	GICS Industry	GICS Sector	P/E(TTM)2025.04.04	Price to Book Ratio2025.04.04
62.12	-0.69%	Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail	Consumer Staples	14.99	0.76
29.68	-3.67%	Food Products	Consumer Staples	12.91	0.72
19.40	-2.46%	Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail	Consumer Staples	12.66	1.08
11.07	-3.06%	Food Products	Consumer Staples	11.99	0.81
38.61	-6.60%	Food Products	Consumer Staples	11.58	0.97
43.32	-8.93%	Food Products	Consumer Staples	11.56	0.94
54.01	-2.93%	Tobacco	Consumer Staples	10.95	0.94
14.05	-4.75%	Food Products	Consumer Staples	10.65	1.03
14.74	-2.38%	Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail	Consumer Staples	10.60	1.22
61.15	-2.10%	Beverages	Consumer Staples	10.51	0.90

Ticker
IMKTAIngles Markets
KHCThe Kraft Heinz
NOMDNomad Foods
AGROAdecoagro
ANDEThe Andersons
ADMArcher-Daniels-Midland
UVVUniversal
DOLEDole
WILCG.Willi-Food
TAPMolson Coors B

View 64 results more

2. Commodities: Inflation and Tariff Hedge

Commodities like gold, energy, and agricultural products tend to rise in value during inflationary periods caused by tariffs.

Key ETFs

DBC (Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund): Tracks a diversified basket of commodities, including oil, gold, and wheat ⁶.
GOLD (SPDR Gold Shares): Gold has historically outperformed during tariff-driven inflation ⁷.
AGU (Invesco DB Agriculture Fund): Focuses on agricultural commodities (wheat, corn), which are less affected by import tariffs ⁶.

3. Domestic Manufacturing & Infrastructure

Domestic manufacturers are less reliant on imported components and benefit from "Buy American" policies.

Top Picks

XME (S&P Metals & Mining ETF): Focuses on U.S.-based steel and mining companies, which may gain from tariffs on foreign imports ⁸.
IYT (iShares U.S. Industrial ETF): Includes Caterpillar and Deere, which have hedged supply chains ⁹.

4. E-commerce & Tech-Driven Retail

E-commerce platforms reduce reliance on physical supply chains, making them less vulnerable to tariffs.

Top Picks

CLIX (ProShares Long Online/Short Stores ETF): Targets e-commerce giants like Amazon and Shopify, which thrive during supply chain disruptions ³.
CART (Maplebear): A consumer staples-focused e-commerce company with exposure to U.S. markets ².

5. Low-Beta & Hedged Strategies

Low-beta ETFs and hedged strategies protect against tariff-induced volatility.

Top Picks

BALT (Innovator Defined Wealth Shield ETF): Combines equity exposure with downside protection using options ¹⁰.
PHDG (Invesco S&P 500 Downside Hedged ETF): Uses derivatives to hedge against market declines ¹⁰.

Key Risks to Monitor

Sector Rotation: Tariffs may shift consumer spending from discretionary to staples, favoring defensive sectors ¹¹.
Inflation Pass-Through: Companies with pricing power (e.g., consumer staples) are better positioned to offset cost increases ¹².

Conclusion
Tariff-resilient investments require a mix of domestic exposure, inflation hedging, and sector diversification. Consumer staples (XLP, VDC), commodities (DBC, GOLD), and hedged strategies (BALT, PHDG) are top priorities. For investors in AI/China/autonomous vehicles, focus on domestically oriented firms or those with hedged supply chains.

Source:

1. Sector is Commodities or Consumer Staples; P/E Ratio < 15; P/B Ratio < 2