26 of August 2025 what do you expect the price of gold to be

The deep research logic is organized as follows: 

Okay, let's tackle this question about the expected gold price on August 26, 2025. The user is interested in the context of the Trump Administration's Intel stake and its implications on gold. First, I need to check the provided references for any relevant data on gold prices around that date.

Looking through the references, Number 29 mentions a gold weekly forecast from August 22, 2025. It notes that gold recovered sharply on Friday (August 22) but remained below $3,400. The forecast discusses the impact of Powell's dovish tone at Jackson Hole, which could support gold prices. The technical outlook hints at a bullish tilt, and the upcoming economic data, including Durable Goods Orders on August 26, might influence the price.

Also, reference Number 28 talks about hotel investment trends, but that's probably not relevant here. Reference Number 27 discusses the Reward Gold Mine production update, which might affect supply but not directly the price on that specific date. Reference Number 26 mentions Gold Fields Limited's performance, but again, not directly tied to the price on August 26.

The user's profile mentions interest in the Trump Administration's Intel stake and its impact on gold. However, the provided references don't directly link Intel's stake to gold prices. The closest is reference Number 12 and 13, which discuss Trump's comments on the Federal Reserve, but those are more about monetary policy than gold.

Putting this together, the key factors for August 26, 2025, would be the economic data releases mentioned in reference Number 1 and 6. The Durable Goods Orders and Consumer Confidence data could influence market sentiment, affecting gold as a safe-haven asset. If the data is weaker than expected, gold might rise due to increased safe-haven demand. Conversely, if the data shows economic strength, gold might face pressure.

Additionally, the Federal Reserve's policy stance, as indicated by Powell's comments, is crucial. A dovish tilt could lead to lower interest rates, which is typically bullish for gold. The user's interest in the Trump Administration's policies might tie into potential regulatory changes or trade impacts, but the references don't provide specific data on that.

So, the expected price range for gold on August 26, 2025, would likely be influenced by the economic data and Fed policy. Based on the weekly forecast in reference 29, which ended on August 22 with gold around $3,370, and considering the upcoming data, a bullish scenario could push gold towards $3,400, while a bearish scenario might keep it around $3,350. The exact price would depend on the actual data releases and market reactions.

### **Conclusion**
**Gold Price Forecast for August 26, 2025**
Based on the latest market dynamics and economic indicators, **gold is expected to trade between $3,350 and $3,400 per ounce** on August 26, 2025. This range reflects the interplay of dovish Federal Reserve sentiment, geopolitical uncertainties, and upcoming U.S. economic data releases.

---

### **Analysis**
#### **1. Key Drivers for Gold Price**
| **Factor** | **Impact** |
|---------------------------|-----------------------------------------------------------------------------|
| **Federal Reserve Policy** | - Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s dovish tone at Jackson Hole suggests potential rate cuts, boosting gold as a hedge against inflation.
| **Economic Data** | - Durable Goods Orders (MoM) and Consumer Confidence data on August 26 could trigger volatility. A weaker-than-expected reading may drive gold higher as a safe-haven asset.
| **Geopolitical Risks** | - Ongoing trade tensions and Trump’s criticism of Fed independence could amplify market uncertainty, favoring gold.
| **Institutional Demand** | - Gold ETF inflows remain robust, with global AUM hitting $386 billion as of July 2025.

#### **2. Price Range Justification**
- **Bullish Scenario**: If Durable Goods Orders decline (forecast: -4.0%) and Consumer Confidence drops (forecast: 96.3), gold could rally to **$3,400**.
- **Bearish Scenario**: Stronger-than-expected data or a hawkish shift in Fed rhetoric could cap gold at **$3,350**.

#### **3. Market Sentiment**
- Gold ETFs saw $3.2 billion in inflows in July 2025, signaling sustained institutional interest.
- The U.S. dollar’s weakness (DXY near 95) further supports gold’s appeal as a hedge against currency depreciation.

---

### **Conclusion**
**Final Forecast**: $3,350–$3,400 per ounce on August 26, 2025.
**Key Takeaway**: Gold remains a critical hedge against macroeconomic risks, with the upcoming data releases and Fed policy stance as key catalysts.