Will QS go up tomorrow
7/22/2025 01:03pm
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The deep research logic is organized as follows:
Okay, let's tackle the user's question: "Will QS go up tomorrow?" The user is interested in QuantumScape's stock movement for the next day. First, I need to gather all relevant data from the provided references and background.
Starting with the earnings release date from Reference 1, QS is set to report earnings after market close on July 23, 2025. Since the current time is July 22, 2025, the earnings are just around the corner. Earnings announcements can cause significant volatility, so this is a key factor.
Looking at the price trend forecasts, Reference 2 shows a bullish trend with a continuation probability of 50%. The conditioned trend has 39 days of clear trend and 2 days unclear, which might indicate some uncertainty. The unconditioned trend shows a 7-day period with 70% probability and 11 days with 50%, suggesting moderate confidence in the bullish outlook.
Support and resistance levels from Reference 3 indicate that QS is currently above the wide resistance level of 10.91. The forecast advice is to buy with a 53.15% historical win rate, which is slightly above the market average of 53.51%. This suggests a favorable technical setup.
The trend similarity-based price forecast in Reference 4 provides specific price targets. For July 23, the forecast mean is $14.16 with a 34% CI of $13.32 to $14.99 and a 68% CI of $12.48 to $14.99. The expected max gain is 33.37%, which is quite high, but the max loss is -46.28%, indicating high volatility around the earnings release.
Recent news from References 5-13 and 15-25 highlight mixed sentiment. On July 21, QS dropped 14.48% due to market reactions and analyst downgrades, but there were also positive developments like the Cobra separator integration and partnerships with Murata and Volkswagen. The stock hit a 52-week high on July 15 but corrected sharply afterward. The technical analysis from References 12 and 21 suggests a potential bullish cycle starting after a pullback, with the stock breaking above key resistance levels.
The user's profile indicates a focus on tech stocks with long-term growth potential and a preference for technical analysis. They are interested in high volatility and medium-term opportunities. Given the upcoming earnings, the technical setup, and recent news, QS seems positioned for a significant move. However, the high volatility and mixed sentiment mean there's a risk of both upside and downside.
Putting it all together, the conclusion is that QS is likely to experience volatility tomorrow, with a bullish bias due to the technical setup and upcoming earnings. The user should be cautious of the high risk but aware of the potential upside if the earnings beat expectations or if there are positive catalysts like partnership announcements.
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### Conclusion 🚨
**Yes, QS (QuantumScape) is likely to experience volatility tomorrow (July 23, 2025), with a bullish bias based on technical setups and upcoming earnings.** However, the stock faces high risk due to mixed market sentiment and recent corrections. Let’s break this down:
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### 📊 Key Data Points for QS (QuantumScape)
#### 1. **Earnings Release**
- **Date**: July 23, 2025 (After Market Close)
- **Impact**: Earnings announcements often trigger volatility. Analysts expect a GAAP net loss of $0.25 per share .
#### 2. **Price Trend Forecast**
| Metric | Value |
|----------------------------|----------------|
| Current Trend | Bullish (41 days) |
| Continuation Probability | 50% |
| Days with 70% Probability | 7 days |
#### 3. **Support & Resistance**
| Level | Price |
|----------------------------|----------------|
| Current Position | Above Wide Resistance (10.91) |
| Forecast Trend | Bullish |
| Historical Win Rate | 53.15% vs. Market 53.51% |
#### 4. **Trend Similarity Forecast**
| Date | Forecast Price | 34% CI Range | 68% CI Range |
|----------------------------|----------------|--------------|--------------|
| July 23, 2025 | $14.16 | $13.32–$14.99 | $12.48–$14.99 |
| Expected Max Gain | +33.37% |
#### 5. **Recent Market Activity**
- **Last Price**: $12.52 (July 21, 2025)
- **Post-Market Drop**: $11.95 (July 21, 2025)
- **Volume**: 131.23M shares (July 21, 2025)
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### 📉 Risks to Consider
1. **High Volatility**: QS has shown extreme price swings (+14.9% to -17.3% in recent days) .
2. **Negative Sentiment**: Analysts project a 60.86% downside to the average target price of $4.90 .
3. **Operational Risks**: Q1 2025 net loss of $114.4M and full-year guidance for a $250M–$280M loss .
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### 📈 Why QS Could Rise
1. **Bullish Technical Setup**: Breakout above key resistance levels (10.91–13.72) .
2. **Catalysts**: Upcoming earnings, potential partnerships (e.g., Lucid Group ), and Cobra separator milestones .
3. **Market Sentiment**: Recent 52-week high (July 15, 2025) and strong momentum (91.38/100