Will pepsi go up tomorrow?
7/18/2025 08:34am
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The deep research logic is organized as follows:
Okay, let's tackle the question: "Will Pepsi go up tomorrow?" The user is asking about PEP's stock price movement on July 18, 2025. First, I need to check the references provided to gather relevant data.
Looking at the references, the earnings release date for PEP is July 17, 2025, before market open . The user is asking about July 18, which is the day after the earnings. So, the earnings have already been released, and the market reaction is likely to be reflected in the stock price on July 18.
Next, let's check the price forecast. There's a trend similarity-based price forecast which includes data for July 18, 2025. The forecast price mean is $139.79 with a 34% CI range of $136.04 to $143.54 and a 68% CI range of $132.29 to $143.54. The expected max gain is 13.8%, and the trend forecast is bullish. However, the expected max loss is -20.87%, which is quite significant. This suggests high volatility around the earnings release.
Also, the time-series price trend forecast shows a bullish trend with a continuation probability of 78%. The support and resistance levels indicate that the current price is between narrow support and resistance levels, with a bearish trend. The forecast advice is "Hold" with a historical win rate slightly above the market average.
The earnings results from the references show that PEP beat expectations, with EPS of $2.12 vs. $2.03 expected, and revenue of $22.73B vs. $22.28B. The company also raised its full-year guidance, which is a positive sign. The stock price on July 17 closed at $145.44 with a 7.45% increase , which is a strong positive reaction to the earnings.
Considering the user's profile, they are interested in technical analysis and short-term movements. The earnings have already been released, and the stock had a significant jump on July 17. The next day, July 18, might see some profit-taking or continued momentum. The forecast for July 18 shows a mean price of $139.79, which is lower than the closing price on July 17. However, the 34% CI upper bound is $143.54, which is still below the July 17 close. The 68% CI upper bound is $143.54 as well. This suggests that the stock might consolidate or face some selling pressure after the earnings surge.
But wait, the user is asking about tomorrow, which is July 18. The earnings were released on July 17, so the market has already reacted. The stock closed at $145.44 on July 17, which is a 7.45% increase. The forecast for July 18 is a mean of $139.79, which is lower. However, the 34% CI upper bound is $143.54, which is still below the July 17 close. This might indicate that the stock could pull back from the recent high. However, the bullish trend and the positive earnings surprise might keep the stock supported.
Also, looking at the options market dynamics , there's a bearish sentiment with 50% of trades being puts. This could indicate some short-term downside pressure. However, the company's strong earnings and guidance improvement might counteract that.
The user's interest in technical analysis suggests they might look at the support and resistance levels. The narrow support is $131.11, and the narrow resistance is $139.86. The stock closed at $145.44, which is above the narrow resistance. The next resistance level is the wide resistance at $136.95, but that's lower than the current price. Wait, that doesn't make sense. Let me check the support and resistance levels again. The support levels are $128.19 (wide) and $131.11 (narrow). The resistance levels are $136.95 (wide) and $139.86 (narrow). The stock closed at $145.44, which is above both narrow and wide resistance levels. That suggests the stock is in an uptrend, breaking out of the resistance. However, the forecast advice is "Hold" with a swing trend, which might mean the stock could consolidate or face some pullback.
The user's investment style is short-term, so they might be looking for a continuation of the bullish trend or a pullback to enter. The forecast for July 18 shows a mean price lower than the July 17 close, but the 34% CI upper bound is still below the July 17 price. This might indicate that the stock could face some profit-taking, but the overall trend is bullish with a high continuation probability.
In conclusion, while the stock has already reacted positively to the earnings, the technical indicators and forecasts suggest mixed signals. The stock might consolidate or face some profit-taking on July 18, but the bullish trend and strong fundamentals could support further upside. The user should consider the high volatility and the possibility of a pullback before entering a position.
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**Conclusion** 🚀
Based on the latest data and upcoming events, **PepsiCo (PEP)** is **likely to experience volatility** tomorrow (July 18, 2025), with a **mixed outlook** for upward movement. Here’s the breakdown:
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### 📊 **Key Factors Driving PEP’s Price**
1. **Earnings Catalyst**:
- PEP reported **better-than-expected Q2 results** on July 17, 2025, with EPS of $2.12 (vs. $2.03 consensus) and revenue of $22.73B (vs. $22.28B expected) .
- The company **raised its full-year guidance**, expecting a smaller EPS decline (-1.5% vs. -3% previously) .
- **Market Reaction**: PEP surged 7.45% to close at $145.44 on July 17 .
2. **Price Forecast**:
- **Trend Similarity Forecast** for July 18, 2025:
- **Mean Price**: $139.79 .
- **Confidence Intervals**:
- 34% CI: $136.04–$143.54.
- 68% CI: $132.29–$143.54.
- **Expected Max Gain**: 13.8% (bullish trend).
- **Expected Max Loss**: -20.87% (high volatility).
3. **Support & Resistance**:
- **Current Position**: Above narrow resistance ($139.86) and wide resistance ($136.95) .
- **Price Trend**: Bearish (short-term), but **bullish continuation probability** of 78% .
4. **Market Sentiment**:
- **Analyst Sentiment**: Mixed (Zacks Rank: #4/Sell) .
- **Options Activity**: 50% bearish (puts) vs. 38% bullish (calls) .
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### 📉 **Why PEP Might Pull Back**
- **Profit-Taking Pressure**: After a 7.45% surge on July 17, short-term traders may lock in gains.
- **High Volatility**: The stock faces a **20.87% downside risk** per the trend similarity forecast .
- **Bearish Options Flow**: 50% of recent options trades reflect bearish sentiment .
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### 🚀 **Why PEP Could Rise Further**
- **Strong Fundamentals**: Improved guidance, resilient international growth, and cost management .
- **Bullish Trend**: 78% probability of trend continuation .
- **Earnings Catalyst**: Positive surprises in Q2 (e.g., North America Foods recovery, FX benefits) .
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### 📊 **Final Take**
**PEP is likely to consolidate or face profit-taking pressure** tomorrow, given the recent surge and mixed technical signals. However, **long-term bullish fundamentals** (e.g., improved guidance, international growth) could drive further upside. For a **short-term, moderate-risk strategy**, consider **waiting for a pullback to support levels** ($131.11–$136.95) before entering . Stay vigilant for **post-earnings volatility**! 🚨