Will FC go up?

``` The deep research logic is organized as follows: Okay, let's tackle this question: "Will FC go up?" The user is asking about Franklin Covey's stock price movement. First, I need to check the latest data from the references provided. The current date is July 2, 2025, and the user is looking for a short-term outlook based on their interest in technical analysis and trading opportunities. Looking at the references, there are several earnings reports from July 2, 2025. The company missed earnings estimates, with a net loss of $0.11 per share compared to the expected $0.32. Revenue also fell short, which likely caused the stock to drop. The technical analysis from reference 15 mentions a "Strong Buy" signal based on moving averages and other indicators, but the 1-week and 1-month ratings are "Sell." The RSI from reference 17 is 69.84, which is above 50, indicating some bullish momentum, but not extremely overbought yet. The user profile shows interest in short-term trading, so I should focus on near-term factors. The stock price dropped after the earnings miss, but the technical indicators are mixed. The company has strong liquidity and is repurchasing shares, which could support the price. However, the restructuring costs and macroeconomic issues mentioned in the earnings reports are negatives. The upcoming earnings call on July 2 might provide more clarity, but the user is asking right now, so the immediate reaction is a drop, but with potential for a bounce if the company addresses concerns. I need to structure the answer with a clear conclusion first, then detailed analysis. Use tables for key data points and include the visualization for the query "Franklin Covey technical analysis indicators RSI moving averages volume trends" as per the requirements. Make sure to cite all relevant references and keep the language aligned with the user's interest in technicals and short-term moves. ``` ### Conclusion 📉 **Franklin Covey (FC) is unlikely to rise in the short term due to its recent earnings miss and unfavorable market conditions, but technical indicators suggest potential upside if the stock stabilizes.** Let’s dive into the data to unpack this further. --- ### Key Analysis 📊 #### 1. **Earnings Miss and Market Reaction** Franklin Covey reported a **net loss of $0.11 per share** for Q3 FY2025, significantly missing the consensus estimate of $0.32 . Revenue also fell short at $67.1M vs. the expected $67.5M . The stock dropped by **6.5%** post-earnings, reflecting investor disappointment . | Metric | Actual (Q3 FY2025) | Estimate (Analysts) | Outcome | |------------------------|----------------------|-----------------------|---------------| | EPS | -$0.11 | $0.32 | **Miss** | | Revenue | $67.1M | $67.5M | **Miss** | | Adjusted EBITDA | $7.3M | $4.5M | **Beat** | #### 2. **Fundamental Concerns** - **Macro Risks**: The company cited **geopolitical tensions** and **canceled government contracts** as key headwinds . - **Divisional Weakness**: Both the **Enterprise Division (-8.9% YoY)** and **Education Division (-7.9% YoY)** underperformed . - **Liquidity**: Despite strong cash reserves ($33.7M) and no credit facility drawdowns , the restructuring costs ($4.7M) weigh on profitability . #### 3. **Technical Outlook** - **Price Action**: The stock closed at **$24.17** on July 2, 2025, with a **0.25% daily gain** . - **RSI**: At **69.84**, the RSI suggests **bullish momentum** but not extreme overbought conditions . - **Moving Averages**: The 20-day MA is **$23.56**, with the stock trading **+0.25% above** this level . |code|Ticker|Name|Date|RSI|market_code| |---|---|---|---|---|---| |FC|FC.N|Franklin Covey|20250702|69.8370|169| |code|Ticker|Name|Date|Moving Average|market_code| |---|---|---|---|---|---| |FC|FC.N|Franklin Covey|20250702|23.5560|169| #### 4. **Near-Term Catalysts** - **Earnings Call**: Franklin Covey will host a call on July 2, 2025, at 5:00 PM ET to discuss Q3 results and FY2026 guidance . - **Share Buybacks**: The company repurchased **$8.3M** in shares during Q3, signaling confidence in its long-term prospects . --- ### Final Takeaway 📉 **FC faces headwinds from macroeconomic risks and operational challenges, but its strong liquidity and strategic initiatives (e.g., multi-year contracts) could stabilize the stock.** For short-term traders, the **RSI bullish signal** and **near-term earnings catalyst** present a cautious upside opportunity. However, the **earnings miss** and **technical sell signals** (1-week/1-month ratings) temper optimism . **Bottom Line**: FC may see a **short-term bounce** if the earnings call clarifies the path to profitability, but **long-term risks** remain elevated.