What's the outlook for MVIS's Q1 2025 earnings?

**MicroVision's Q1 2025 earnings outlook is cautious.** Here's a detailed analysis: 1. **Expected Earnings and Revenue**: For Q1 2025, MicroVision is estimated to report earnings per share (EPS) of approximately -$0.140, which is worse than the analyst estimate of -$0.097. The estimated revenue for the quarter is $1.65 million, falling significantly short of the consensus estimate of $5 million. 2. **Historical Performance and Challenges**: In the most recent quarter, Q4 2024, MicroVision's revenue was $1.7 million, missing expectations due to a customer delaying their decision to 2025. The company has faced challenges, including delays in automotive RFQs converting into revenue-generating contracts. 3. **Strategic Shifts and Future Prospects**: Despite the challenges, MicroVision is making strategic shifts to focus on industrial and defense sectors, which are expected to provide near-term revenue opportunities. The company has secured production commitments from its manufacturing partner ZF to meet anticipated demand, ensuring an uninterrupted supply chain. Additionally, MicroVision has strengthened its balance sheet with over $90 million in investments from a strategic financial partner, extending its cash runway into 2026. 4. **Market Sentiment and Price Target**: Despite the recent setbacks, the average price target for MicroVision is $2.67, implying a nearly 92% upside from the current closing price. This suggests that some investors remain optimistic about the company's future prospects. In conclusion, while MicroVision is facing current challenges that are reflected in the expected Q1 2025 earnings, the company's strategic shifts and long-term prospects could lead to improved financial performance in the future. However, the near-term outlook is cautious due to the revenue shortfall and delayed customer decisions.