What's the outlook for HLT's EPS post-Q1 2025?

**Hilton Worldwide's EPS outlook post-Q1 2025 appears cautious.** Here's a detailed analysis: 1. **Analyst Expectations for Q2 2025**: Analysts are currently projecting that Hilton Worldwide's EPS for Q2 2025 will be $1.82. This represents a slight increase from the $1.76 EPS reported in Q4 2024. 2. **Trends Influencing the Outlook**: - **Travel Demand and Normalization**: Travel demand has been normalizing since the pandemic, which has impacted Hilton's revenue growth. The company's Q4 2024 earnings fell short of expectations due to slower travel demand, despite the addition of new hotels. - **Economic Conditions**: The economic conditions brought by the COVID-19 pandemic have challenged the hospitality industry. Hilton's CEO, Chris Nassetta, has expressed optimism about the impact of President Trump's economic growth initiatives, but there is still uncertainty. - **Comparative Performance**: Hilton's Q4 2024 EPS of $1.76 exceeded analyst expectations, but the outlook for 2025 is softer. The company's adjusted EPS guidance for 2025 is $7.77, which is slightly below analyst estimates. 3. **Recent Performance and Adjustments**: - **Zacks Research Adjustments**: Zacks Research has reduced its Q3 2025 EPS estimate for Hilton Worldwide from $2.17 to $2.15. This adjustment reflects a more cautious outlook for the period. - **Consensus and Variability**: The consensus estimate for Hilton Worldwide's current full-year earnings is $7.89 per share. However, the company's own guidance and analyst projections are slightly lower, indicating a more conservative financial outlook. In conclusion, while there are positive indicators such as the company's strong fourth quarter performance and the addition of new hotels to its pipeline, the overall outlook for Hilton Worldwide's EPS post-Q1 2025 is tempered by slower travel demand and softer profit projections for the year. The company's ability to navigate these challenges and maintain growth will be crucial in determining its future earnings potential.