Will VIX close above 25 at any point this month?

**The likelihood of the VIX closing above 25 this month is low.** Here's why: 1. **Current VIX Level and Trend**: As of the latest data, the VIX closed at 15.15 on August 7, 2025. It has been trending downwards, hitting a low of 14.95 on July 24, 2025. 2. **Market Conditions**: The overall market sentiment has been subdued, with the VIX reflecting this sentiment. The VIX is used as a measure of market expectation for near-term volatility, and its current low level suggests that traders are not expecting significant volatility in the near term. 3. **Historical Seasonality**: Historically, the VIX tends to rebound in August, often tracking with a seasonal dip in stock performance. However, this is not a guaranteed trend, and the current conditions do not strongly suggest a rebound to levels above 25. 4. **Recent Economic Data**: The release of better-than-expected employment numbers has contributed to the dip in the VIX, as it suggests a stable or improving economic environment, which typically does not lead to increased volatility expectations. In conclusion, while the VIX could potentially fluctuate due to market dynamics, the current trends and economic indicators suggest that closing above 25 this month is a less likely scenario.