The trading volume of MU has been increasing recently. Will its stock price rise?
7/2/2025 07:46am
The trading volume of MU (Micron Technology) has been increasing recently, which could potentially lead to a rise in stock price. Here's an analysis based on the available data:
1. **Increased Trading Volume**: The trading volume of MU has been reported at 24.76 million shares.
|code|Ticker|Name|Date|Trading Volume|market_code|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|MU|MU.O|Micron Technology|20250701|24756324|185|
2. **Price Movement**: The stock price of MU has experienced a decline of 1.91%.
3. **Analyst Ratings**: Analysts have a positive outlook on MU, with Raymond James lifting the price target to $150 from $120, maintaining an "Outperform" rating. Baird also boosted the price target amid a positive outlook.
4. **Market Sentiment**: Jim Cramer, a well-known financial expert, has referred to Micron Technology as "the old Micron," suggesting a positive sentiment. However, he also cautioned viewers about potential overvaluation.
5. **Financial Performance**: MU's fiscal Q3 2025 results and Q4 2025 outlook exceeded consensus expectations, with revenue reaching $9.3 billion. The company's HBM revenue saw a significant increase of approximately 50% quarter-over-quarter.
6. **Market Position**: MU is the only American company that makes and sells leading-edge memory chips, providing a wide moat in domestic exposure. It is also NVIDIA’s only American supplier of high-end memory chips for the company's high-end AI GPUs.
7. **Potential Risks**: There are potential risks to consider, such as the company's significant customer impact on revenue, with one customer accounting for 16% of the revenue. Additionally, there are ongoing challenges with customer qualifications for HBM3E and HBM4, which may affect future supply and demand dynamics.
In conclusion, while increased trading volume can be a precursor to a stock price rise, it is not a guarantee. The decision to buy or sell MU should be based on a comprehensive analysis of the company's financial health, market position, and future growth prospects. The positive analyst ratings and the company's strong financial performance suggest that MU could be a solid investment, but investors should also be aware of the potential risks and market challenges.