Will SUP's Q1 2025 earnings beat forecasts?
4/5/2025 12:37am
**Superior Industries International (SUP) is likely to face challenges in meeting earnings forecasts for Q1 2025.** Here's why:
1. **Analyst Price Target and Consensus Rating**: The average analyst price target for SUP over the past three months is $7.00. However, this target is based on a 12-month horizon, not a quarter-specific estimate.
2. **Estimate EPS and Revenue**: There are no available data on SUP's estimated EPS or revenue for Q1 2025. This makes it impossible to assess the company's potential performance against forecasted figures.
3. **Recent Performance and Trends**: SUP has been performing poorly, with a significant decline in stock price over the last year. The company's stock price closed at $1.67 on March 6, 2025, which is a decrease from its 52-week high of $4.57.
4. **Earnings History and Trends**: SUP's earnings have been below expectations in recent quarters. For example, in Q4 2024, the company reported an EPS of -$0.75, missing the forecasted EPS of -$0.91. This trend suggests that SUP has struggled to meet analyst expectations.
5. **Revenue Misses and Challenges**: SUP has experienced a decline in revenue, with Q4 2024 revenue coming in at $310 million, below the consensus estimate of $348.57 million. The company's full-year net sales decreased to $1.3 billion from $1.4 billion in 2023.
6. **Market Conditions and Outlook**: Superior Industries has faced a challenging operating environment, with industry declines and lower sales. The company's guidance for FY 2025 revenue is in the range of $1.30 billion to $1.40 billion, which does not provide a strong basis for optimism.
Given these points, it is difficult to foresee SUP's Q1 2025 earnings exceeding forecasts. The company's historical performance, recent stock price trends, and the broader market conditions all point to a cautious outlook for SUP's near-term financial results.