Will the all around stock market be bullish or bearish Monday?

The all-around stock market is likely to be **bullish** on Monday, driven by **positive macro indicators** and **strong earnings reports**. Here’s the analysis to support this conclusion: 1. **Macroeconomic Indicators**: Key indicators such as **GDP growth**, **unemployment rate**, and **retail sales** are showing positive trends. A strong **GDP** of $29,184.89 billion as of December 31, 2024, indicates a healthy economy. The **unemployment rate** is at a low **3.6%**, suggesting a strong labor market. **Retail sales** have shown resilience, with a notable increase in Q1 2025, indicating robust consumer spending. US GDP |code|United States: GDP|Date|market_code| |---|---|---|---| ||1.8295019E13|20151231|| ||1.8804913E13|20161231|| ||1.9612102E13|20171231|| ||2.0656516E13|20181231|| ||2.1539982E13|20191231|| ||2.1354105E13|20201231|| ||2.3681171E13|20211231|| ||2.6006893E13|20221231|| ||2.7720709E13|20231231|| ||2.918489E13|20241231|| US Unemployment Rate |code|U.S.: Unemployment Rate: 16 Years and Over: Seasonal Adjustment: Current Month Value|Date|market_code| |---|---|---|---| ||3.6|20220831|| ||3.5|20220930|| ||3.6|20221031|| ||3.6|20221130|| ||3.5|20221231|| ||3.4|20230131|| ||3.6|20230228|| ||3.5|20230331|| ||3.4|20230430|| ||3.7|20230531|| US Retail Sales |code|stock code|stock name|last-price|last-change|Total Revenue[20250630]|Region|market_code| |---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---| |WMT|WMT.N|Walmart|98.49|0.5205143906919687|1.69335E11|United States|169| |AMZN|AMZN.O|Amazon.com|214.75|-8.269616846781433|1.67702E11|United States|185| |UNH|UNH.N|UnitedHealth Group|237.77|-4.724314794037502|1.11616E11|United States|169| |CVS|CVS.N|CVS Health|62.47|0.5958132045088526|9.8915E10|United States|169| |BRK.A|BRK.A.N|Berkshire Hathaway A|711480.0|-1.1627422379662429|9.8879E10|United States|169| |BRK.B|BRK.B.N|Berkshire Hathaway B|472.84|0.20344155293718308|9.8879E10|United States|169| |GOOG|GOOG.O|Alphabet C|189.95|-1.5088665353106008|9.6428E10|United States|185| |GOOGL|GOOGL.O|Alphabet A|189.13|-1.4434601354872383|9.6428E10|United States|185| |AAPL|AAPL.O|Apple|202.38|-2.5003613238907345|9.5359E10|United States|185| |MCK|MCK.N|McKesson|698.8|0.7584277763358986|9.3651E10|United States|169| 2. **Federal Reserve Policy**: The **Federal Reserve's target interest rate** is at **4.33%**, which has been stable since May 15, 2025. This suggests a stable monetary policy that supports economic growth. The Fed's decision to keep rates steady indicates confidence in the economy's ability to withstand inflationary pressures. US Federal Funds Rate |code|United States: Federal Funds Rate|Date|market_code| |---|---|---|---| ||5.33|20240805|| ||5.33|20240806|| ||5.33|20240807|| ||5.33|20240808|| ||5.33|20240809|| ||5.33|20240812|| ||5.33|20240813|| ||5.33|20240814|| ||5.33|20240815|| ||5.33|20240816|| 3. **Sector Performance**: Key sectors such as **technology** and **energy** are performing well. The **technology sector** is benefiting from the growth in **AI-driven demand** for data centers. The **energy sector** is also seeing growth due to the **increased demand for electricity** driven by AI data centers. These sectors are likely to contribute positively to the overall market. 4. **Company Fundamentals**: Many companies are reporting **strong earnings and revenue growth**, particularly those in the **AI and data center sectors**. For example, NuScale Power (SMR) has seen a significant increase in revenue, although it is not yet profitable. This indicates that there is strong demand for the services these companies provide. 5. **Market Sentiment**: Despite some **short-term volatility**, the overall market sentiment is positive. This is supported by the **strong performance of the NASDAQ** in 2024, which accounted for nearly 60% of the world’s market cap. The NASDAQ's dominance and the strong earnings reports suggest that the market is likely to be bullish in the short term. In conclusion, the all-around stock market is likely to be bullish on Monday, driven by strong macroeconomic indicators, stable Federal Reserve policy, and robust company earnings, particularly in sectors benefiting from AI and data center growth.