Stock has risen 9% overnight for bmnr
7/18/2025 10:40am
**Bottom line đ**
The 9% surge for BMNR overnight was driven by **insulin-driven buying** from institutional investors, triggered by Peter Thielâs Founders Fund taking a **9% stake**. This lifts BMNRâs focus from Bitcoin to Ethereum, aligning with the broader crypto theme. The rally is **very speculative**, with high-risk rewards but potential for large losses if Ethereum sentiment fades. âď¸
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### Whatâs behind the move
1. **Founders Fund Inflow**
- Peter Thielâs fund takes a **9% stake**, valuing BMNR at ~$420M with this single transaction.
- Positions BMNR as a **crypto treasury player**, focused on Ethereum rather than Bitcoin.
2. **Ethereum Strategy Shift**
- BMNR pivots from **Bitcoin mining** to **Ethereum-focused treasury**, mirroring MicroStrategyâs approach.
- Chairman Tom Leeâs vision is to hold **5% of all ETH in circulation**, gaining influence over Ethereumâs security and governance.
3. **Market Sentiment**
- Institutional demand for ETH exposure is rising, backed by Circleâs IPO and regulatory momentum around stablecoins.
- Ether has already more than doubled in the last three months.
4. **Technical Validation**
- BMNRâs price surge is supported by a **strong technical setup**, with bullish moving averages and Bollinger Band breaks.
### Risks and Next Steps
1. **Speculative Bubble**
- The rally is **very speculative**, relying on high-risk assumptions about Ethereumâs long-term value.
- A correction could be swift if sentiment shifts or Ethereumâs fundamentals donât follow.
2. **Short-Term Overheating**
- The recent capital raise and stock sale could lead to **short-term consolidation**, as the market absorbs the new shares.
- Watch for signs of **overheated sentiment** or insider selling.
3. **Long-Term Potential**
- If BMNR executes its **Ethereum-first strategy** successfully, it could become a **major crypto treasury player**.
### Tactical Takeaway
- **Long-term investors** might consider BMNR a **growth story**, but should **limit position size** due to high risk.
- **Short-term traders** should watch for ** signs of overbought exhaustion** or **insider selling** before entering.
Stay nimble and cautiousâthis is a **high-risk, high-reward** scenario. đđ