Spot silver
3/5/2026 10:58pm
Here’s a clean, trend‑following plan for **spot silver (XAGUSD)** on the **daily timeframe** 👇
> 🦈 **Direction:** Long (with trend)
> ✅ **Entry (buy stop):** **83.40**
> 🛡️ **Stop‑loss:** **78.50**
> 🎯 **Take‑profit 1 (main target):** **93.30**
> 🎯 **Take‑profit 2 (aggressive):** **98.20**
_All prices are approximate XAGUSD spot levels, mapped from the SLV ETF. You should match them to your own broker’s XAGUSD daily chart before placing orders._
---
### How this is built (shark logic, but short)
1. **Trend check (SLV daily as proxy for silver):**
- SLV close ≈ **74.4**
- **EMA20 ≈ 77.1 > EMA50 ≈ 73.8 > EMA200 ≈ 55.2**
→ Clear **uptrend**, price in a **pullback below EMA20 but above EMA50** = classic trend‑pullback zone.
2. **SLV levels (ETFs are cleaner for structure):**
- Recent strong **swing high** around **85**.
- Higher‑low support zone around **71–72**.
- ATR(14) ≈ **2.8** → normal daily volatility.
From this, I set:
- **SLV entry:** 76.0 (buy stop above current price, only if bulls push up)
- **SLV stop:** 71.5 (≈1.6×ATR below entry, under key support)
- **SLV TP1:** 85.0 (≈2R and near recent swing high)
- **SLV TP2:** 89.5 (≈3R, only if momentum extends)
3. **Convert to spot silver (XAGUSD):**
- On **2026‑02‑23**, SLV ≈ 80.57, XAGUSD ≈ 88.44 → ratio ≈ **1.10**
- Applying that ratio to the SLV plan gives approximate **spot** levels:
| Level | SLV | XAGUSD (approx) |
|-------------|---------|-----------------|
| Entry | 76.0 | **83.40** |
| Stop‑loss | 71.5 | **78.50** |
| TP1 (2R) | 85.0 | **93.30** |
| TP2 (3R) | 89.5 | **98.20** |
These are **trend‑continuation** levels: you only go long if price **pushes up into 83.40**, not while it’s weak below.
---
### How to execute this on 1D
- **Order type:**
- Place a **buy stop** at **83.40** on XAGUSD.
- If price never trades up through 83.40 → **no trade** (trend didn’t resume).
- **Stop‑loss:**
- Set at **78.50**.
- If daily closes drive down there, the current bullish leg is likely broken for your timeframe.
- **Targets & management:**
- **TP1 = 93.30** → when hit, close **50–70%** of the position and move stop on the rest to **breakeven** (83.40).
- **TP2 = 98.20** → let the remaining part run towards this; trail stop under new daily higher lows.
- **Risk sizing (very important with your small account):**
- Keep **risk per trade at 2–3% max** of your account.
- Distance entry→SL ≈ **4.9** dollars in XAGUSD.
- If you risk **0.50 USD** per trade, your position size ≈ 0.10 lot per 1$ move? No: you must compute:
`position_size = risk_amount / (entry − SL)` with your broker’s contract size.
- I can help you calculate exact lot size once you confirm your broker’s **contract value per 1.0 lot** on XAGUSD.
---
### Visual of the underlying SLV structure
This is the SLV (silver ETF) daily chart with **entry, SL, TP1** levels that I mapped to spot silver 👇
```reference
[{"id":7,"type":"plotly-json"}]
```
---
If you tell me **which broker/contract size** you use for XAGUSD (for example, $1 per $1 move on 0.01 lot, or something else), I can give you **exact lot size** so that this setup risks only about **2–3%** of your current account on this trade.