What risks could affect RTX's earnings in 2025?
3/29/2025 11:33am
Raytheon Technologies (RTX) faces several risks that could impact its earnings in 2025:
1. **Supply Chain Constraints**: Ongoing supply chain issues, particularly in structural castings and isothermal forgings, pose a challenge to RTX's performance. The company has anticipated a $0.15 headwind from lower FAS/CAS and non-service pension income in 2025.
2. **Powder Metal Compensation Impacts**: The company is dealing with ongoing powder metal compensation impacts, expected to be between $1.1 billion and $1.3 billion in 2025.
3. **Inventory Destocking Risk**: There is a potential risk of inventory destocking at airlines, which could impact Collins' aftermarket growth.
4. **Inflation and Lower-than-Expected OE Volumes**: Ongoing inflation and lower-than-expected Original Equipment (OE) volumes pose challenges to RTX's margins and profitability.
5. **Divestitures and Pension Income**: RTX anticipates a $0.07 EPS headwind from divestitures and a $0.15 headwind from lower FAS/CAS and non-service pension income in 2025.
In summary, RTX's earnings in 2025 could be affected by supply chain constraints, powder metal compensation impacts, inventory destocking risk, inflation, lower-than-expected OE volumes, and divestitures and pension income.