Any profitable covered call for December , but don’t get to call away APLD
12/2/2025 05:06am
**Bottom-line 🏁:**
Sell the **Dec-20-2025 $33 call** on Applied Digital (APLD). At a last price of **$28.76**, that’s a healthy 15 % buffer above spot, giving you a solid shot at “free money” while keeping assignment risk very low. 📈😎
|market_code|code|Ticker|Name|Date|Closing Price|Percentage Change|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|185|APLD|APLD.O|Applied Digital|20251201|28.72|6.019557195571953|
---
### Why this strike feels safe 🤏✨
• The nearest **resistance sits at $33.56**—so the stock would have to punch through that level to reach your call, a scenario that already looks challenging.
• **Weekly volatility is just 5.21 %**, meaning a 15 % move is roughly three standard deviations—an unlikely event in a single month.
|market_code|code|Ticker|Name|Date|Weekly Volatility|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|185|APLD|APLD.O|Applied Digital|20241202|6.954217|
|185|APLD|APLD.O|Applied Digital|20241203|5.130709|
|185|APLD|APLD.O|Applied Digital|20241204|3.334064|
|185|APLD|APLD.O|Applied Digital|20241205|3.852748|
|185|APLD|APLD.O|Applied Digital|20241206|4.072071|
|185|APLD|APLD.O|Applied Digital|20241209|6.383966|
|185|APLD|APLD.O|Applied Digital|20241210|6.579545|
|185|APLD|APLD.O|Applied Digital|20241211|6.576309|
|185|APLD|APLD.O|Applied Digital|20241212|6.811711|
|185|APLD|APLD.O|Applied Digital|20241213|6.298443|
|market_code|code|Ticker|Name|Date|Support Level|Resistance Level|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|185|APLD|APLD.O|Applied Digital|20251201|19.0050|33.5600|
---
### Income potential & assignment odds 💵🎲
• APLD’s **30-day mean implied volatility is 1.4101**—high enough to produce a juicy premium, yet the far-OTM strike keeps theta decay in check.
• Option-chain data show **extreme IV on deep-OTM puts (150-180 %)**, confirming that sellers of high-strike calls can indeed charge up front.
• With the stock ~15 % below the strike, delta is likely single-digits, so even if volatility spikes, the chance of assignment stays small.
---
### Risk checks & sizing tips 🛡️📏
1. **Position size:** Limit notional exposure to ≤10 % of portfolio—options can surprise.
2. **Macro catalysts:** Remember the $2.35 B senior-note deal and the Polaris Forge expansion; both are long-term positives but could spark volatility spikes.
3. **Dividends:** APLD offers no dividend, so your return is purely option-driven—fine by design for a covered-call strategy.
---
### Ready to pull the trigger? 🎯
If APLD stays below $33 into mid-December, you pocket the premium and can either roll or re-enter for the next cycle. Should you feel adventurous, we can explore a slightly lower strike to juice income while still respecting your “don’t get called away” rule—what’s your gut say? 😉💬