Price target for ORCL

**Bottom line 🏁** • Wall Street’s *fresh* average 12-month price target for Oracle (ORCL) is **$313.50** (last update 9-15-2025). • That implies only **~2.5 % upside** from today’s close of **$305.92** . • Targets have expanded sharply this month—Cantor Fitzgerald ($400) and TD Cowen ($375) now mark the high end—while the low end for the past 30 days still sits near $231, reflecting lingering valuation concerns around ORCL’s eye-popping run. -------------------------------------------------------------------- ### 1. Analyst-Target Landscape | Period reviewed | High | Median | Low | Latest consensus | Upside vs. $305.92 | |---|---|---|---|---|---| | Past 30 days | $400 | $231.19 | $231.19 | **$313.50** | **+2.5 %** | | Year-to-date | $400 | $250 | $185 | $281.70 | +24.8 % | *Consensus keeps drifting up as cloud-AI backlog (RPO +359 % y/y) surprises the Street, but the mid-260s to low-300s cluster is still the “center of gravity.”* -------------------------------------------------------------------- ### 2. Where the Stock Sits Now | Metric | Value | Comment | |---|---|---| | Last close (9-16-25) | **$305.92** | +36 % since June as AI optimism snowballs | | Narrow resistance | $312.50 | Price is just **$6** shy—room is tight | | Wide resistance | $283.47 | Acts as first pullback target if momentum cools | | Forecast model (next 20 trading days) | Mean path drifts toward **$242** | Model flashes “Bearish / Sell”; max projected loss –61 % (!) and only +1.7 % upside | -------------------------------------------------------------------- ### 3. How to read this 1. **Short-term froth:** Quantitative forecast and resistance bands warn the post-earnings spike could retrace toward the high-200s. Momentum traders should watch **$300**—a close below raises odds of a deeper fade. 2. **Valuation vs. backlog:** Street bulls justify $350-$400 targets by extrapolating Oracle Cloud Infrastructure’s 70 % CAGR outlook out to FY-2030. Bears counter that even at $306 the stock already trades ≈30 × FY-2028 EPS. 3. **Catalysts ahead:** • Oracle AI World (Oct 13-16) – product roadmap and fresh backlog figures. • Next earnings (Dec) – early proof of backlog-to-revenue conversion. • Potential index re-weighting if market cap crosses $1 Tn line. -------------------------------------------------------------------- ### 4. My take 🎯 If you’re **long-term growth focused**, the $313 consensus feels conservative relative to the $350-$400 bull camp, but keep risk controls in mind—especially with the stock bumping against near-term resistance and a bearish technical forecast. If you’re **short-term tactical**, consider waiting for a pullback toward the **$280-$290 zone** before adding exposure, or hedge with options while the implied volatility is still elevated. --- 🤔 **One quick question to fine-tune future insights:** What kind of upside / downside timeframe (e.g., 3 months, 1 year, 3 years) best matches your Oracle thesis? --- : Analyst price-target time-series, ORCL, 1-Jan-2025 to 15-Sep-2025 (Average Price Target column) : Daily closing prices, ORCL, 2-Sep-2025 to 16-Sep-2025 : Ainvest Forecast module, Support/Resistance & near-term price-path projections, generated 16-Sep-2025