What will price of crude oil do tomorrow

``` The deep research logic is organized as follows: Okay, let's tackle this question. The user is asking about the price of crude oil tomorrow, which is August 20, 2025. They mentioned they're interested in the future price, specifically on August 3rd, but since today is August 19th, tomorrow would be the 20th. They also want to know about significant capital flow changes and short-term price targets. First, I need to check the references provided. Let's look through the references to find any relevant data about crude oil prices around August 2025. Starting with the latest references, Number 17 mentions that on August 19, 2025, crude oil prices dropped to $66.20 due to upcoming peace talks between Russia and Ukraine. The user is asking about tomorrow, so the next day's price movement would be influenced by the outcomes of these talks. Number 25 and 26 also discuss oil prices falling on August 19 because of the peace talks, with Brent at $65.79 and WTI at $62.35. These articles mention that if the talks lead to easing sanctions on Russian oil, supply could increase, pushing prices lower. The target mentioned is around $58 per barrel for Q4 2025 and early 2026. Looking at the EIA reports, Number 10, 11, and 12 all mention the EIA slashing Brent price forecasts. For 2025, the average is now $67.22, down from $68.89. The Q4 2025 forecast is $58, and 2026 is around $50. This aligns with the geopolitical analysis that supply increases from OPEC+ and potential easing of sanctions could lower prices. The user is a short-term investor, so they're likely interested in daily or weekly price movements. The FOMC minutes and EIA inventory reports are scheduled for August 20, 2025 (Number 20). The EIA report might show inventory changes that could affect prices. Recent inventory data (Numbers 27, 28, 29) shows fluctuations, with a recent rise in inventories, which could pressure prices downward. Also, the OPEC+ meeting on August 3rd (Number 1) approved an early completion of supply revival, adding 547,000 bpd in September. This increase could contribute to oversupply, which the EIA expects to lead to lower prices. The user's profile mentions they're interested in capital flow changes. The geopolitical developments, especially the peace talks, could shift capital flows. If sanctions ease, more investors might move out of oil as a hedge, leading to price drops. Conversely, if talks fail, there might be a flight to safety, pushing prices up. Putting this together, the short-term outlook is bearish due to expected supply increases and potential easing of sanctions. Analysts' targets for the end of 2025 are around $58, but tomorrow's price might see a slight dip or stabilization depending on the peace talks' outcome. The user should watch the EIA report and FOMC minutes for immediate price triggers. ``` ### 🌟 **Conclusion** 🌟 Crude oil prices are likely to **decline slightly** tomorrow (August 20, 2025) due to **geopolitical optimism** from ongoing peace talks between Russia, Ukraine, and the U.S., combined with **OPEC+ supply increases** and **EIA inventory data**. Analysts project short-term price targets around **$62–$67 for WTI** and **$65–$70 for Brent**, with risks of further declines if sanctions on Russian oil are eased . --- ### 📊 **Analysis** 📊 #### 1. **Key Market Drivers** | Factor | Impact | Why? | |--------|--------|------| | **Peace Talks Progress** | Bearish | Recent progress in Trump-Putin-Zelenskiy talks could lead to reduced sanctions on Russian oil exports, increasing global supply . | | **OPEC+ Supply Boost** | Bearish | OPEC+ agreed to unwind 2.2 million bpd of production cuts by September 2025, adding 547,000 bpd in September . | | **EIA Inventory Data** | Neutral/Bearish | The EIA reported a **1.5 million bpd inventory build** last week, signaling oversupply risks . | | **FOMC Minutes** | Neutral | The Federal Reserve’s monetary policy stance could influence oil prices indirectly via currency fluctuations . | --- #### 2. **Short-Term Price Targets** | Benchmark | Current Price | Short-Term Target (Aug 20) | Risks | |-----------|---------------|----------------------------|-------| | **WTI** | $62.35 | $62–$67 | Downside if sanctions ease; upside if supply constraints persist . | | **Brent** | $65.79 | $65–$70 | Bearish if peace talks succeed; bullish if geopolitical tensions reignite . | --- #### 3. **Capital Flow Implications** - **Outflows from Oil Stocks**: Investors may reduce exposure to oil producers (e.g., Chevron , ExxonMobil ) if prices stabilize below $65 . - **Inflows to Gold**: Geopolitical uncertainty could drive demand for safe-haven assets like gold, with prices near $3,324 . - **Sector Rotation**: Energy transition plays (e.g., solar, battery stocks) may attract capital if oil prices remain depressed . --- #### 4. **Key Data to Watch** | Event | Timing | Impact | |-------|--------|--------| | **EIA Crude Oil Inventories** | Aug 20, 10:30 AM ET | Oversupply risks if inventories rise further . | | **FOMC Meeting Minutes** | Aug 20, 2:00 PM ET | Dollar strength could pressure oil prices . | | **Trump-Zelenskiy Updates** | Ongoing | Sanctions clarity will drive short-term price volatility . | --- ### 📉 **Final Outlook** 📉 Crude oil prices face **downside pressure** tomorrow, with WTI likely trading between **$62–$64** and Brent between **$65–$67**. Investors should monitor **EIA inventory data** and **geopolitical developments** for potential market shifts. Stay vigilant! 🚨