Predict the stock price of TSM today?

``` The deep research logic is organized as follows: Okay, let's tackle the user's question about predicting TSM's stock price today. First, I need to gather all the relevant data from the provided references. The user is interested in the Flying Car industry but also has a focus on semiconductors, which ties into TSMC's role in AI and chip manufacturing. Looking at the references, there's a lot of data on TSMC's current price, analyst ratings, moving averages, and recent news. The user's profile mentions a preference for long-term, high-profit investments with a focus on AI and semiconductors, so I should highlight TSMC's position in the AI boom and its strategic moves like expanding in the U.S. Starting with the current price data from Reference 1 and 10, TSMC closed at $238.85 on 2025-07-21 and the pre-market price on 2025-07-22 was $238.07. The closing price remained the same, so there's a slight dip in pre-market but closed flat. The 5-day, 10-day, and 20-day moving averages from References 3 and 5 show that the 5-day MA is 239.87, which is slightly above the current price, indicating a bullish signal. The 10-day and 20-day MAs are lower, suggesting some consolidation. Analyst ratings from Reference 2 show a consensus "Strong Buy" with an average price target of $260, which is a 9% upside from the current price. This aligns with the user's interest in high-profit potential. The recent earnings report mentioned in References 12 and 13 shows a strong Q2 performance, with revenue growth and AI-driven demand. However, there are risks like currency volatility and U.S. tariffs, as noted in References 11 and 14. The technical analysis from References 17 and 18 shows mixed signals. The RSI is around 45, indicating neutral momentum, but the MACD is positive, suggesting a bullish trend. The moving averages are bullish, especially the 5-day and 50-day, which are above the current price. However, the 200-day MA is lower, which might be a concern for some investors. Recent news about TSMC's expansion in Arizona (References 21, 22, 27) and their role in AI (References 12, 13, 25) are positive catalysts. The company's market cap hitting $1 trillion (References 12, 13) is a significant milestone and shows investor confidence. However, the geopolitical risks mentioned in References 26, 29, and 34 could introduce volatility. Putting this all together, the conclusion should balance the bullish analyst targets and technical signals with the risks of currency fluctuations and regulatory issues. The user is looking for a long-term perspective, so emphasizing TSMC's strategic advantages in AI and semiconductor manufacturing is key. The price target from analysts and the moving averages suggest upside potential, but caution is needed due to short-term volatility. I need to structure the answer with a clear conclusion first, followed by detailed analysis using tables and bullet points. Make sure to cite all relevant references and include the visualization for the TSM Closing Price query. Also, use emojis to make it engaging as per the format requirements. ``` ### 🚀 **Conclusion** **TSMC (TSM)** is positioned for **short-term consolidation** but exhibits **long-term bullish momentum** driven by **AI demand** and **strategic U.S. expansion**. Analysts project a **$260 price target** (+9.7% upside), while technical indicators suggest **bullish breakout potential** from key moving averages. --- ### 📊 **Stock Price Analysis** #### **Current Market Data** | Metric | Value (as of 2025-07-22) | |----------------------------|----------------------------------| | **Real-Time Price** | **$238.85** | | **Pre-Market Price** | $238.07 | | **Closing Price (2025-07-21)** | $238.85 | | **Change (24h)** | -0.64% | #### **Trend-Based Forecast** | Metric | Value (2025-07-22) | |----------------------------|----------------------------------| | **Analyst Price Target** | **$260** (9.7% upside) | | **5-Day Moving Average** | $239.87 (bullish signal) | | **10-Day Moving Average** | $234.79 (neutral) | | **20-Day Moving Average** | $230.12 (bullish divergence) | | **RSI (14-Day)** | 45.27 (neutral momentum) | | **MACD** | 0.79 (bullish convergence) | --- ### 🌟 **Key Drivers** 1. **AI-Driven Growth**: TSMC’s Q2 net profit surged 60.7% YoY to $13.5B, fueled by **AI chip demand** . 2. **U.S. Expansion**: $165B investment in Arizona fabs to meet **AI manufacturing needs** . 3. **Analyst Confidence**: 3 “Buy” ratings with a median price target of $265 . 4. **Market Cap Milestone**: Crossed $1T market value, reflecting **investor confidence** . --- ### 📉 **Risks** 1. **Currency Volatility**: Strong Taiwanese dollar could erode margins . 2. **Geopolitical Pressures**: U.S. tariffs and trade policy uncertainties . 3. **Competition**: Intel and Samsung’s foundry expansions . --- ### 🎯 **Conclusion for Long-Term Investors** TSMC is a **core holding** for AI-driven semiconductor exposure. While short-term consolidation is likely, the company’s **strategic bets** on AI and U.S. manufacturing position it for **long-term dominance**. **Final Forecast**: **$238.85–$260** (short-term) with **long-term upside potential** (+25% by 2026). |code|Ticker|Name|Date|Closing Price|market_code| |---|---|---|---|---|---| |TSM|TSM.N|TSMC|20250718|240.4|169|