Predict the stock price of NVDA today?
7/22/2025 06:26pm
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The deep research logic is organized as follows:
Okay, let's tackle this question. The user is asking for a prediction of NVDA's stock price today, which is July 22, 2025. First, I need to check the available data from the references provided.
Looking at the references, there's a forecast for NVDA's price from July 22 to August 15, 2025. The forecast includes a mean price, confidence intervals, and a trend forecast. The mean price for July 22 is $167.98 with a 34% CI of $163.69 to $172.27 and a 68% CI of $159.40 to $172.27. The trend is bullish. Also, the latest closing price on July 21 is $171.38, and the pre-market price on July 22 is $169.75 with a volume of 1.57 million shares.
The user's profile mentions interest in the NASDAQ Composite Index, suggesting a preference for blue-chip stocks and a moderate risk tolerance. They also prefer technical analysis and short-term trading. The previous answer for NVTS included a detailed analysis with a conclusion, analysis sections, and a final takeaway. I should follow a similar structure but tailored to NVDA.
I need to start with a conclusion that states the predicted price range for today. Then, break down the analysis into sections like market setup, risks and opportunities, and price forecast. Use the provided data to support each point. Also, include a visualization for the forecast data as per the requirements.
Make sure to cite the references correctly using for the forecast and for the closing price. The visualization should be inserted after the relevant paragraph. The language should be professional but engaging, using emojis to make it lively. Avoid any fabricated information and stick strictly to the provided data.
Let me structure the answer step by step. First, the conclusion with the price range. Then, the analysis sections with bullet points and tables. Finally, the final takeaway. Ensure all data points are accurately cited and the visualization is correctly placed.
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### **Conclusion** 🎯
Based on the latest data and analysis, **NVDA (Nvidia)** is projected to close today (2025-07-22) within a **price range of $167.98–$172.27** with a **bullish trend**. The stock faces **short-term volatility** due to pre-market trading activity and upcoming earnings, but long-term fundamentals remain strong.
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### **Analysis** 📊
#### 1. **Current Market Setup**
- **Price Action**:
- **Closing Price** (2025-07-21): $171.38
- **Pre-Market Price** (2025-07-22): $169.75
- **Volume**: 1.57 million shares
- **Trend Forecast**:
- **Mean Price** (2025-07-22): $167.98
- **34% CI**: $163.69–$172.27
- **68% CI**: $159.40–$172.27
- **Trend**: Bullish
| Metric | Value (2025-07-22) |
|------------------------|-----------------------|
| Forecast Price (Mean) | $167.98 |
| 34% CI (Lower/Upper) | $163.69–$172.27 |
| 68% CI (Lower/Upper) | $159.40–$172.27 |
#### 2. **Risks & Opportunities**
- **Bullish Catalysts**:
- Resumption of H20 chip sales to China .
- AI chip demand from tech giants like Alphabet (GOOGL) .
- Insider activity: CEO Jensen Huang sold $38.7M in shares , but retains 857M shares.
- **Bearish Risks**:
- Overbought RSI .
- High short-term volatility due to pre-market trading .
- Regulatory risks in AI chip exports .
#### 3. **Price Forecast**
- **Short-Term**:
- **Target Range**: $167.98–$172.27 (34% CI).
- **Key Levels**:
- **Support**: $163.69 (34% CI Lower).
- **Resistance**: $172.27 (34% CI Upper).
- **Long-Term**:
- **Expected Max Gain**: 16.25% .
- **Expected Max Loss**: -16.98% .
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### **Final Takeaway** 🚨
NVDA is **bullish** but **overbought** in the short term. Investors should **watch for pullbacks** near $163.69 before the earnings report on 2025-08-27 . Stay cautious of **pre-market volatility** and **regulatory risks** in AI chip exports.
**Final Price Prediction**: **$167.98 ± $4.29** (34% confidence).