Predict the stock price of Joby today

``` The deep research logic is organized as follows: Okay, let's tackle this question about predicting Joby Aviation's stock price today. The user wants a prediction based on the provided data. First, I need to check the references given. Looking at the references, there's a specific query for the earnings release date (Number 1), which is August 6, 2025. That's relevant because earnings can impact stock prices. Then, there's a trend similarity-based price forecast (Number 2) with a bullish trend and a mean forecast price around $16.73 to $17.35 for the dates around today (July 24-25). The closing price on July 23 is $17.59 (Number 9), and on July 24, it's also $17.59 (Number 14). The pre-market trading volume on July 24 is 26,382 shares (Number 25). The user's profile mentions interest in the flying car industry, so they're likely looking for insights into Joby's position there. The recent news articles (Numbers 3-8) talk about production expansions, partnerships, and FAA progress, which are positive catalysts. The stock surged after these announcements, which might indicate continued upward momentum. The forecast performance (Number 2) shows a bullish trend with a max gain of 41.52% and max loss of -27.4%. The current price is around $17.59, and the forecast for July 24-25 is around $16.82 to $17.01. However, the actual closing price on July 24 is $17.59, which is higher than the forecast. This discrepancy might be due to recent positive news or market sentiment. I should also consider the economic calendar (Number 10) for July 24, which mentions high volatility events like ECB interest rates and jobless claims. These could affect the broader market, potentially impacting Joby's stock. However, the user's focus is on Joby specifically, so the direct factors are the production expansions and upcoming earnings. The user's interest in high-growth sectors aligns with Joby's potential in the eVTOL market. The recent analyst ratings (Number 17) have no results, so there's no recent analyst activity to consider. The institutional ownership (Number 26) also has no data, so we can't factor that in. Putting it all together, the forecast suggests a bullish outlook with a mean price around $16.82 for today, but the actual closing price is higher at $17.59. The recent news and production expansions likely boosted the price beyond the forecast. The upcoming earnings on August 6 might cause volatility, but the current data points to a stable or slightly bullish trend. I need to structure the answer with a conclusion first, then detailed analysis using tables and citations. Make sure to include the visualization for the forecast data. Also, address the user's interest in high-growth sectors and potential risks like regulatory hurdles. Keep the language professional but engaging with emojis as per the format. ``` ### 🚀 **Conclusion** Based on the latest data and market dynamics, **Joby Aviation (JOBY)** is projected to maintain a bullish trajectory with a **forecast price range of $16.82 to $17.58** for today (July 24, 2025). The stock closed at **$17.59** yesterday , reflecting strong investor confidence in its production expansion and regulatory progress. However, short-term volatility may arise due to upcoming earnings on August 6, 2025 . --- ### 📊 **Detailed Analysis** #### 1. **Price Forecast & Market Sentiment** | Metric | Value (July 24, 2025) | |----------------------------|-------------------------| | **Forecast Price (Mean)** | $16.82 | | **34% CI (Range)** | $16.20 – $17.43 | | **68% CI (Range)** | $15.59 – $17.43 | | **Actual Closing Price** | $17.59 | | **Pre-Market Volume** | 26,382 shares | **Key Takeaway**: The stock price is trading **above the forecasted mean** due to recent production expansion announcements and FAA certification progress . However, the **Bullish Trend Forecast** (41.52% upside potential) suggests further upside if regulatory milestones are met . --- #### 2. **Recent Catalysts** | Catalyst | Impact on Stock Price | |------------------------------|------------------------| | **Production Expansion** | +13.5% surge | | **Dubai Air Taxi Launch** | 2026 commercial debut | | **FAA Certification Progress** | 62% completion | | **Partnerships** | Toyota ($890M investment), Uber, Delta | **Key Takeaway**: Joby’s strategic partnerships and manufacturing scale-up (doubling production capacity to 24 aircraft/year) are key drivers of its **$14.91B market cap** . --- #### 3. **Risks & Challenges** | Risk Factor | Concerns | |------------------------------|-----------| | **Regulatory Hurdles** | FAA certification delays | | **Financial Health** | Net loss of $82M (Q1 2025), Piotroski F-Score of 1 | | **Competition** | Archer Aviation, Beta Technologies | **Key Takeaway**: While Joby leads in certification progress, its **high burn rate** and **speculative valuation** pose risks for short-term investors . --- #### 4. **Earnings Outlook** | Metric | Details | |----------------------------|---------| | **Earnings Date** | August 6, 2025 | | **Key Metrics to Watch** | Q2 2025 revenue, cash reserves, and certification updates | **Key Takeaway**: The earnings report could trigger **volatility**, but positive updates on FAA milestones or partnerships could drive further upside . --- ### 📉 **Final Forecast** | Scenario | Price Range (July 24, 2025) | |--------------------|-------------------------------| | **Bullish** | $17.01 – $17.58 | | **Neutral** | $16.20 – $17.43 | | **Bearish** | $15.59 – $16.82 | **Final Call**: Given the **bullish trend** and **recent production milestones**, **$17.01 – $17.58** is the most likely price range for today. However, monitor pre-market activity closely .