Predict the stock price of ASML tomorrow?
7/22/2025 06:36pm
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The deep research logic is organized as follows:
Okay, let's tackle the user's question about predicting ASML's stock price tomorrow. First, I need to check the available data from the references provided. The user is asking for a prediction, so I should look for any relevant forecasts or recent market data.
Looking at the references, Number 2 has a trend similarity-based price forecast for ASML. The forecast includes dates from 2025-07-22 to 2025-08-15. The user's current time is 2025-07-22, so the next day would be 2025-07-23. Checking the forecast table, the mean forecast price for 2025-07-23 is $758.09 with a 34% CI range of $757.21 to $758.97. The 68% CI is wider, but the mean is the key here.
Also, the latest closing price from Number 11 is $719.68 on 2025-07-21. The pre-market price on 2025-07-22 (today) is $711.48, which is lower than the closing price. However, the forecast for tomorrow (2025-07-23) is significantly higher at around $758.09. That's a notable jump from the current levels.
The user is a tech enthusiast with a focus on AI and the Metaverse, so the context of ASML's role in AI chip manufacturing is relevant. The company's Q2 earnings were strong, driven by AI demand, but they're cautious about 2026. However, the forecast from the trend model is bullish, expecting a mean price increase. The buyback activity and analyst upgrades (like Evercore ISI) also support a positive outlook.
I should structure the answer by first stating the forecasted price, then break down the factors supporting this prediction. Including the table from the forecast and the closing prices will make it clear. Also, mention the technical setup and analyst sentiment to add depth. Make sure to cite the references properly and include the visualization as required.
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**Conclusion** 🎯
Based on the latest data and forecasts, ASML's stock price is projected to rise to **$758.09** by tomorrow (2025-07-23), reflecting a **5.3% increase** from its closing price of $719.68 on 2025-07-21 . This bullish outlook aligns with ASML's strong Q2 performance in AI-driven semiconductor demand and its strategic positioning in advanced lithography technology.
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### 📊 **Key Data & Analysis**
#### 1. **Price Forecast**
| Date | Forecast Price (Mean) | 34% CI (Range) | 68% CI (Range) |
|------------|-------------------------|-----------------------|-----------------------|
| 2025-07-23 | **$758.09** | $757.21 – $758.97 | $756.32 – $758.97 |
#### 2. **Recent Market Activity**
- **Closing Price (2025-07-21)**: $719.68
- **Pre-Market Price (2025-07-22)**: $711.48 (down 2.03% from previous close)
- **Earnings Release Date**: July 16, 2025 (already passed)
#### 3. **Bullish Catalysts**
- **AI Chip Demand**: ASML's Q2 earnings were driven by AI-related semiconductor production, with net sales reaching €7.7 billion (up 23.2% YoY) .
- **Share Buyback**: ASML executed a $30 million buyback program in July 2025, signaling confidence in its long-term growth .
- **Analyst Sentiment**: Evercore ISI views the current dip as a "buying opportunity," citing ASML's undervalued status and long-term AI-driven growth potential .
#### 4. **Risks to Monitor**
- **Geopolitical Risks**: ASML faces uncertainty from U.S.-China trade tensions and potential tariffs on semiconductor exports .
- **2026 Growth Concerns**: The company has cautioned about macroeconomic headwinds and geopolitical risks impacting its 2026 outlook .
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### 📉 **Why This Matters for You**
As a tech enthusiast with a focus on AI and the Metaverse, ASML's role in enabling advanced chip manufacturing for AI applications makes it a critical holding. The stock's projected rise aligns with your long-term growth strategy, but remain vigilant about geopolitical risks that could disrupt its trajectory.