Predict the stock price of slgx tomorrow?

``` The deep research logic is organized as follows: Okay, let's tackle the user's question about predicting the stock price of SLGX (SL Green Realty) tomorrow. First, I need to check the available data from the references provided. The user is asking for a prediction, so I should look for any relevant data points that can help estimate the price. Let's start by checking the references. Looking at Reference 1, the earnings release date for SLG is 2025-07-17, which is in the past. The current date is 2025-08-03, so the earnings have already been released. The user is asking about tomorrow, which would be 2025-08-04. Next, Reference 2 provides a time-series price trend forecast. The current trend is bearish with a duration of 16 days. The conditioned trend shows a continuation probability of 71%, which is quite high. The unconditioned trend has 8 days with 70% probability and 13 days with 50%. This suggests a bearish continuation is likely. Reference 3 discusses support and resistance levels. The current price is below the wide support level, and the forecast is bearish with a sell advice. The stock's historical win rate is 53.14%, which is slightly below the market average of 53.5%. This indicates that the stock might underperform the market in a bearish trend. Reference 4 gives a trend similarity-based price forecast. The forecast prices for 2025-08-04 to 2025-08-08 show a range around $57.67 to $59.66. The expected max gain is 18.18%, but the max loss is -27.08%, which is quite significant. The trend forecast here is bullish, which contradicts the other bearish indicators. Looking at the latest price data from Reference 10, the closing price on 2025-08-01 was $55.76 with a 2.6% decrease. The trading volume was 1.19 million shares. The after-hours trading on the same day (Reference 18) showed a post-market price of $55.76 with a volume of 207,646 shares. The user's profile mentions interest in technical analysis, so the support and resistance levels and trend forecasts are particularly relevant. The bearish trend and below support level suggest a potential price drop. However, the trend similarity forecast shows a bullish outlook with a mean price around $57.67 for 2025-08-04. I need to reconcile these conflicting signals. The time-series and support/resistance data point to a bearish trend, while the trend similarity model suggests a bullish outlook. The user is likely looking for a short-term prediction, so the most recent data (like the latest closing price and the trend similarity forecast) might be more relevant. Also, the user's interest in high volatility stocks like NVDA and TSLA suggests they might be looking for a stock with significant price movement potential. The wide confidence intervals in the trend similarity forecast (e.g., 34% CI from $57.05 to $58.28) indicate uncertainty, but the mean price for 2025-08-04 is $57.67. Considering the bearish trend and the recent price drop, the stock might continue to trend downward. However, the trend similarity model's bullish forecast could indicate a potential reversal. The user might be interested in the high volatility aspect, so highlighting the range and the conflicting indicators would be useful. I should structure the answer by first stating the conclusion based on the data, then break down the analysis into sections like current market data, trend analysis, support/resistance, and the trend similarity forecast. Including the visualization for the time-series forecast as per the user's request is important. Make sure to cite all relevant references and present the data in tables for clarity. Also, since the user prefers technical analysis, emphasizing the trend probabilities and support levels would be key. The conclusion should reflect the most likely scenario based on the data, which seems to lean bearish given the high continuation probability and current price below support. However, the trend similarity model's bullish forecast adds a layer of uncertainty, so the answer should mention both perspectives. ``` ### 🌟 **Conclusion** Based on the latest data and analysis, **SL Green Realty (SLG)** is likely to face **short-term downward pressure** with a **bearish trend continuation** probability of **71%**. However, there is a **bullish breakout potential** with a **mean price target of $57.67** for tomorrow (2025-08-04). The stock is currently **below its wide support level** ($57.69), signaling further downside risk, but the **trend similarity model** suggests a **18.18% upside** if bullish momentum kicks in. --- ### 📊 **Analysis Breakdown** #### 1. **Current Market Data** | Metric | Value (2025-08-01) | Implication | |------------------------|----------------------|-------------| | **Closing Price** | $55.76 | -2.6% drop from previous day | | **Post-Market Price** | $55.76 | No significant after-hours movement | | **Trading Volume** | 1.19M shares | Average liquidity | #### 2. **Trend Analysis** | Metric | Value | Implication | |------------------------|----------------------|-------------| | **Current Trend** | Bearish (16 days) | Short-term bearish momentum | | **Continuation Prob.** | 71% | High chance of trend persistence | | **Bearish Forecast** | 8 days (70% prob.) | Potential price decline | #### 3. **Support & Resistance** | Level | Value | Position (2025-08-01) | |------------------------|----------------------|------------------------| | **Wide Support** | $57.69 | **Below** (current price: $55.76) | | **Narrow Support** | $59.97 | **Above** (no immediate risk) | | **Wide Resistance** | $64.54 | **Far Above** (bullish breakout needed) | #### 4. **Trend Similarity Forecast** | Date | Mean Price | 34% CI (Range) | 68% CI (Range) | |------------------------|------------|----------------|----------------| | **2025-08-04** | $57.67 | $57.05–$58.28 | $56.44–$58.28 | | **2025-08-05** | $57.25 | $55.58–$58.92 | $53.90–$58.92 | | Key Metrics | Value | |------------------------|----------------------| | **Expected Max Gain** | +18.18% | Bullish scenario | | **Expected Max Loss** | -27.08% | Bearish scenario | --- ### 📉 **Key Takeaways** - **Short-term Risk**: The stock is **below its wide support level** and in a **bearish trend** with high continuation probability (71%). - **Bullish Catalyst**: A **mean price target of $57.67** for tomorrow suggests potential upside if bullish momentum breaks out. - **Volatility Alert**: The **34% CI range** ($57.05–$58.28) indicates high price variability, aligning with your interest in high-volatility stocks like NVDA and TSLA. ### 🚨 **Final Forecast** **SLG** is likely to trade between **$55.76–$58.28** tomorrow, with a **71% chance of bearish continuation** and a **29% chance of bullish breakout**. Stay vigilant for price action around the **$57.69 support level**.