Predict the stock price of AMD next week ?
8/3/2025 07:48am
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The deep research logic is organized as follows:
Okay, let's tackle the user's question about predicting AMD's stock price for next week. First, I need to gather all the relevant data from the provided references. The user is interested in AMD's price prediction, so I should focus on earnings dates, technical indicators, analyst opinions, and market trends.
Starting with the earnings release date, Reference 1 shows AMD's earnings are scheduled for August 5, 2025, after market close. That's a key event because earnings can cause significant price movements. The user's query is for next week, which is August 2-8, 2025, so the earnings are right in the middle of that period. Earnings announcements often lead to volatility, so that's a major factor.
Next, looking at the technical indicators. Reference 2 provides a time-series price trend forecast. The current trend is bullish with a duration of 80 days. However, the continuation probability is only 15%, which is low. The conditioned trend shows 77 days of clear trend and 3 days of unclear, which might indicate some uncertainty. The unconditioned trend has days with 70% and 50% probabilities, which are 10.7 and 14.5 days respectively. This suggests that the market isn't very confident about the trend continuing. The closing price indicator is used here, so the technicals are based on that.
The closing price as of August 1, 2025, is $171.7 according to Reference 8. The last change was -2.61%, which is a recent downward movement. The RSI on August 1 is 60.7 (Reference 32), which is above 50, indicating overbought conditions. However, RSI alone isn't a definitive signal, but it's something to note.
Looking at analyst opinions, Reference 5 mentions Morgan Stanley raising the price target to $185 with an Equal Weight rating. Reference 24 and 25 talk about other analysts like UBS and Susquehanna raising their targets due to potential export relief to China. The average target price from analysts is around $175 (Reference 4 mentions 5 analysts with an average target of $175). However, there's also mention of some bearish options activity, with 36% bearish sentiment (Reference 4). This mixed sentiment could lead to volatility around the earnings.
Institutional activity is another factor. Reference 3 shows that 1,229 institutional investors added shares