What is the outcome result you are anticipating before market results of MNDY based on options call out data, is it will go up?

``` The deep research logic is organized as follows: Okay, let's tackle this question about Monday.com (MNDY) options data and whether the stock is expected to go up before the market results. The user is interested in short-term investments and likes stocks with strong analyst ratings, so I need to focus on recent data and technical indicators. First, looking at the options data from Reference 1. The implied volatility is really high, like 178.99% for some calls. High IV usually means the market expects big price swings. The open interest and trading volume are also significant, especially for the August 15, 2025 expiration. The put/call ratio from Reference 10 is 0.53, which is below 1. That suggests more calls are being bought than puts, indicating optimism. But wait, the put volume is higher in some cases, like the 240 put with 556 volume. Hmm, maybe mixed signals here. The recent news from Baird upgrading MNDY to Outperform with a $310 PT (References 3 and 4) is a big deal. Analyst upgrades often boost stock prices, especially if the PT is higher than current levels. The user is into AI stocks, and Baird mentioned AI potential, which aligns with their interests. Also, the earnings are coming up on August 11, which is today. The earnings estimate is $0.84, down 10.64% YoY, but the market might be pricing in that already. The pre-market price from Reference 6 is $251.5, up 0.26% from the last close of $248.04. That's a slight positive sign. The historical volatility from Reference 12 shows weekly volatility around 3.56%, but the implied volatility is much higher. This discrepancy might mean the market is pricing in more uncertainty than usual, possibly due to earnings. The options skew from Reference 10 (0.53) indicates more call buying, which could mean anticipation of upside. However, the put volume isn't negligible, so there's some bearish sentiment too. The user's profile mentions interest in short-term plays and strong analyst ratings. MNDY has a consensus PT of $348.09 (Reference 3), which is way above the current price. The recent upgrade by Baird to Outperform with a $310 PT adds to the bullish case. The partnership expansion in the UK (References 5 and 11) could be a catalyst for growth, especially in the work management software sector, which ties into AI and IoT trends the user likes. Putting it all together: The options data shows mixed signals but leans towards optimism with more calls being bought. The upcoming earnings and positive analyst sentiment suggest potential upside. The pre-market activity is slightly positive, and the high implied volatility indicates expected movement. However, the earnings estimate is a bit lower, which might cause some volatility. The user's focus on short-term gains and strong analyst ratings makes MNDY a candidate for a bullish play, but they should be cautious of the risks around earnings. ``` ### 🎯 **Conclusion** Based on the options data, market sentiment, and upcoming catalysts, **MNDY is likely to experience upward momentum** ahead of its earnings report on August 11, 2025. The data suggests **bullish sentiment** with elevated implied volatility and a favorable put/call ratio, aligning with recent analyst upgrades and strategic partnerships. However, short-term risks remain due to earnings uncertainty and high valuation metrics. --- ### 📊 **Analysis** #### 1. **Options Market Indicators** - **Implied Volatility (IV):** The August 15, 2025 call options show **extremely high IV (170-178%)**, reflecting market anticipation of significant price movement . - **Put/Call Ratio:** The ratio of 0.53 indicates **more call buying** than put selling, suggesting optimism about upside potential. - **Open Interest & Volume:** The August 15, 2025 expiration has **active trading** (e.g., 597 open interest for the 260 call) , with recent price gains (17.62-19.35% YoY) . |code|Ticker|Name|Date|Weekly Volatility|market_code| |---|---|---|---|---|---| |MNDY|MNDY.O|monday.com|20240812|5.277794|185| |MNDY|MNDY.O|monday.com|20240813|5.008945|185| |MNDY|MNDY.O|monday.com|20240814|5.479674|185| |MNDY|MNDY.O|monday.com|20240815|5.314686|185| |MNDY|MNDY.O|monday.com|20240816|5.434663|185| |MNDY|MNDY.O|monday.com|20240819|5.412044|185| |MNDY|MNDY.O|monday.com|20240820|1.270026|185| |MNDY|MNDY.O|monday.com|20240821|1.346993|185| |MNDY|MNDY.O|monday.com|20240822|1.456389|185| |MNDY|MNDY.O|monday.com|20240823|1.450621|185| |code|Ticker|Name|Date|Interest Income|market_code| |---|---|---|---|---|---| |MNDY|MNDY.O|monday.com|2024 Q3|1.4942E7|185| |MNDY|MNDY.O|monday.com|2024 Q4|1.2869E7|185| |MNDY|MNDY.O|monday.com|2025 Q1|1.7647E7|185| |code|Ticker|Name|Date|Trading Volume|market_code| |---|---|---|---|---|---| |MNDY|MNDY.O|monday.com|20240812|2843487|185| |MNDY|MNDY.O|monday.com|20240813|1100692|185| |MNDY|MNDY.O|monday.com|20240814|830872|185| |MNDY|MNDY.O|monday.com|20240815|810375|185| |MNDY|MNDY.O|monday.com|20240816|564859|185| |MNDY|MNDY.O|monday.com|20240819|610702|185| |MNDY|MNDY.O|monday.com|20240820|488327|185| |MNDY|MNDY.O|monday.com|20240821|318814|185| |MNDY|MNDY.O|monday.com|20240822|334337|185| |MNDY|MNDY.O|monday.com|20240823|342876|185| #### 2. **Market Sentiment & Catalysts** - **Analyst Upgrades:** Baird upgraded MNDY to **Outperform** with a $310 price target , citing AI-driven growth potential. The stock’s **consensus PT** is $348.09 , implying **24% upside** from the current price of $248.04 . - **Earnings Catalyst:** MNDY is set to report Q2 2025 results on August 11, with an **EPS estimate of $0.84** (-10.64% YoY) . The stock has **underperformed** the sector (-16.51% vs. +3.95%) , but recent upgrades suggest **rebound potential**. - **Strategic Partnerships:** Expansion into the UK market and AI-driven workflow solutions align with the user’s interest in **AI and IoT sectors**. #### 3. **Risks & Valuation** - **High Valuation:** MNDY trades at a **PEG ratio of 27.09** , significantly above the industry average (2.18) . - **Earnings Uncertainty:** The stock’s **1-year price range** ($202.01–$342.64) highlights volatility risks. --- ### 📊 **Key Takeaways** - **Bullish Case:** Options data (high IV, call dominance) and analyst upgrades suggest **short-term upside**. - **Bearish Case:** High valuation and earnings uncertainty pose risks. - **Conclusion:** MNDY is **likely to rise** in the short term, but **monitor earnings closely** for confirmation. Let me know if you’d like further customization! 🚀