How will Nvidia's stock price change in the next 5 days?

``` The deep research logic is organized as follows: Okay, let's tackle this question about how Nvidia's stock price might change in the next five days. The user is asking for a detailed analysis based on the provided references and background. First, I need to go through all the references to gather relevant data points. Starting with the earnings release date (Reference 1), NVDA is set to report on August 27, 2025, after the market close. That's just two days away from the current time of August 25. The stock price as of August 25 is $179.81 (Reference 10). The time-series price trend forecast (Reference 2) shows a bullish trend with a continuation probability of 15%, which is quite low. The support and resistance levels (Reference 3) indicate the current price is between narrow support and resistance levels, with a swing forecast and a hold advice. The trend similarity-based price forecast (Reference 4) provides specific price targets for each day up to September 12, with a bullish trend and expected max gain of 21.24%. Looking at the news articles (References 5-40), there's a lot about China's export controls and the H20 chip. Analysts are mixed but mostly bullish, with price targets ranging up to $214. The company is facing challenges in China but also has positive developments like resuming some chip sales with a revenue-sharing agreement. The upcoming earnings report is expected to show strong revenue growth, around $46 billion, with EPS around $1.01. There's also mention of new products like the B30A chip for China and the Jetson Thor platform, which could drive future growth. The user's profile shows interest in the US Tech sector, particularly NASDAQ, and a news-driven strategy with a short to medium-term horizon. So, the analysis should focus on near-term factors like earnings reaction, technical indicators, and market sentiment. Putting it all together, the key factors are the upcoming earnings, technical indicators showing a bullish but uncertain trend, and mixed but mostly positive analyst sentiment. The price forecast from the trend similarity model shows a slight increase over the next five days, peaking around $188.42 on September 11. However, the low continuation probability suggests volatility. The support and resistance levels are tight, which could lead to a breakout or consolidation. The earnings report is a critical event that could drive the stock price either way based on results and guidance. I need to structure the answer with a clear conclusion first, then break down the analysis into sections: Earnings Impact, Technical Indicators, Analyst Sentiment, and Market Sentiment. Each section should reference the appropriate data from the references. Also, include the required visualizations for the queries mentioned. Make sure to use markdown tables and bold key points as per the format requirements. Keep the language professional but engaging, using emojis where appropriate to make it more lively. ``` ### **Conclusion** 🚨 Nvidia’s stock price is poised for **volatility** over the next 5 days, driven by **earnings uncertainty**, **technical consolidation**, and **mixed market sentiment**. The stock is likely to swing between **$177–$185**, with a **bullish bias** if earnings beat expectations or China-related risks ease. However, **short-term risks** remain due to **low continuation probability** (15%) and **tight support/resistance levels**. --- ### **Analysis** 📊 #### 1. **Earnings Impact** Nvidia reports Q2 FY2026 earnings on **August 27, 2025** . Analysts project: | Metric | Consensus Estimate | YoY Growth | |-----------------------|--------------------|------------| | Revenue | $46.13B | +50% | | EPS (Adjusted) | $1.01 | +48% | | Data Center Revenue | $40.19B | +53% | Key risks: - **China-related headwinds**: Nvidia faces a potential **$8B revenue hit** due to export controls . - **H20 chip uncertainty**: Production halted in August , but a new **B30A chip** for China is under development . #### 2. **Technical Indicators** - **Price Trend**: Current price ($179.81) is **bullish** but within **narrow support/resistance levels** : | Level Type | Price Range | |-------------------|-------------| | Narrow Support | $176.16 | | Narrow Resistance| $184.63 | - **Forecast**: Trend similarity model predicts a **mean price of $179.84** on August 27, with a **68% confidence interval** of $174.25–$182.75 . #### 3. **Analyst Sentiment** - **Consensus Rating**: **Strong Buy** (12/13 analysts) . - **Price Targets**: Range from $155–$225, with recent upgrades to **$212–$214** . - **Key Risks**: Analysts warn of **AI bubble concerns** and **China market risks** . #### 4. **Market Sentiment** - **Bullish Catalysts**: - **AI demand**: Data center revenue growth (+53% YoY) . - **New products**: Jetson Thor (Blackwell GPU) , B30A chip for China . - **Bearish Catalysts**: - **Earnings miss**: 30% chance of underperformance . - **Option activity**: High call option volume may limit upside . --- ### **Key Takeaways** 📝 - **Short-term Outlook**: **$177–$185** range, with potential breakout above $184.63 (narrow resistance). - **Risks**: Earnings miss, China-related delays, or AI infrastructure competition. - **Bullish Catalyst**: Strong data center results or positive China chip updates. **Final Call**: **Hold** until earnings clarity, with a **buy trigger** at $175 (68% CI lower bound).