Is MWA's Q2 2025 EPS forecast likely to surprise again?
4/6/2025 11:35am
**Mueller Water Products' (MWA) Q2 2025 EPS forecast is not likely to surprise again.** Here's why:
1. **Recent Performance**: MWA's recent performance has been impressive, with a remarkable revenue growth rate of 18.68% as of December 31, 2024. This significant increase in revenue suggests that the company is performing well and may have exceeded market expectations.
|code|Ticker|Name|Date|Estimate EPS|EPS Surprise|market_code|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|MWA|MWA.N|Mueller Water Products|2024 Q2|0.14|0.16|169|
|MWA|MWA.N|Mueller Water Products|2024 Q3|0.22|0.1|169|
|MWA|MWA.N|Mueller Water Products|2024 Q4|0.21|0.01|169|
|MWA|MWA.N|Mueller Water Products|2025 Q1|0.19|0.06|169|
2. **Market Expectations**: Analysts have set a high consensus target of $33 and a median of $29 for MWA, representing a 22.7-percent and a 7.8-percent upside, respectively, from the current price. These targets indicate that analysts do not expect a significant EPS surprise in Q2 2025, as the expectations are already quite high.
3. **Insider Activity**: There have been more insider sells than buys in the past year, with Brian Slobodow and Christine Ortiz selling a total of 24,132 shares. Insider selling can sometimes indicate a lack of confidence in future earnings, which could suggest that an EPS surprise is not imminent.
4. **Sector Trends**: The water infrastructure and sports products markets, which MWA serves, are expected to grow steadily. For example, the Water Sports Products Market is projected to reach USD 58.5 billion by 2032. These positive sector trends could support MWA's continued growth, but they do not necessarily indicate an EPS surprise.
In conclusion, while MWA's recent performance and sector trends suggest a positive outlook, the high analyst expectations and insider selling activity suggest that an EPS surprise in Q2 2025 is unlikely.