Monday gold up ya down next week Hindi

``` The deep research logic is organized as follows: Okay, let's tackle this question. The user is asking about whether gold prices will go up or down next week in Hindi. But since the user provided a history where they asked for gold news in Hindi, and now they're asking about the next week's movement, I need to focus on the latest data from the references provided. First, I'll check the references for any recent price movements or forecasts. The most recent data is from August 21, 2025, where gold was priced at $3,344 per ounce, up $2 from the previous day. That's a slight uptick. Then, looking at the forecasts, there's a mention of the 50-day MA at $3,348.90 acting as a resistance level. If gold breaks above that, it could go up to $3,409.43. However, the current price is just below that, so there's potential for a breakout. Also, the Fed's Jackson Hole speech is a key event. The references mention that the Fed might cut rates, which is bullish for gold. The market is pricing in an 83-85% chance of a rate cut next month. That's a strong indicator for gold to rise because lower rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold. There's also the China gold mandate, which could drive demand. The CBIRC requiring insurers to hold 1% of assets in physical gold could unlock $45-55B in purchases. That's a significant structural demand driver, which might push prices higher in the medium term. However, there are some risks. The EUR/USD exchange rate is mentioned as a factor. If the dollar strengthens, gold could face downward pressure. But the current analysis suggests the dollar might weaken, which is bullish for gold. Also, the technical analysis from the Elliott wave theory shows a possible breakout above $3,410, leading to higher targets like $3,600-$3,800. But if it fails, there's a downside risk to $3,120-$2,950. Putting this all together, the short-term outlook (next week) seems mixed but leaning bullish due to the Fed's potential rate cut and the China mandate. The immediate resistance is the 50-day MA, and breaking that could trigger a rally. However, technical resistance and dollar strength could cap gains. The user is interested in short-term trading, so highlighting the breakout level and the Fed event is crucial. Also, mentioning the China factor as a long-term driver but noting the immediate technicals for next week's movement. ``` ### **Conclusion** 🎯 **Gold prices are likely to rise next week**, driven by a potential breakout above the critical $3,348.90 resistance level (50-day MA) and dovish Federal Reserve signals from the Jackson Hole summit. However, short-term volatility remains a risk due to technical resistance and geopolitical uncertainties. --- ### **Analysis** 📊 #### 1. **Current Market Setup** | Metric | Data (as of Aug 21, 2025) | Implication | |----------------------------|------------------------------|------------------------------------------------------------------------------| | Spot Gold Price | $3,344/oz | Testing the 50-day MA ($3,348.90) . A breakout could trigger a rally to $3,409.43 . | | Fed Rate Cut Probability | 83–85% | Lower rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold, boosting demand. | | China Gold Mandate | $45–$55B in purchases | Structural demand from Chinese insurers could push prices higher. | #### 2. **Key Catalysts for Next Week** | Catalyst | Impact | |----------------------------|------------------------------------------------------------------------| | **Fed Policy** | Powell’s dovish tone at Jackson Hole signals potential rate cuts, favoring gold. | | **Technical Breakout** | A close above $3,348.90 (50-day MA) could unlock upside to $3,409.43 . | | **Geopolitical Risks** | U.S.-China trade tensions and U.S.-Iran nuclear talks may drive safe-haven demand. | #### 3. **Risks to Watch** | Risk | Probability | |----------------------------|-------------| | **Dollar Strength** | High | A stronger USD (if Fed signals hawkishness) could cap gold’s rally . | | **Comex Backwardation** | Medium | Physical demand vs. futures market dynamics may create short-term price swings. | --- ### **Conclusion** 🎯 **Gold is set to rise next week**, with a high likelihood of breaking above $3,348.90. However, traders should remain cautious of technical resistance and dollar volatility. Long-term structural drivers like China’s gold mandate and geopolitical tensions reinforce a bullish outlook for 2026 and beyond. Query |code|stock code|stock name|Last Price|Last Change|Theme|Inclusion Reason|market_code| |---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---| |BTOG|BTOG.O|Bit Origin|0.4865|16.947115|||186| |CAN|CAN.O|Canaan|0.7523|13.984848|||185| |BTCS|BTCS.O|BTCS|4.82|11.832947|||186| |HUT|HUT.O|Hut 8|23.37|9.358914|||185| |RIOT|RIOT.O|Riot Platforms|13.22|7.7424610000000005|||186| |COIN|COIN.O|Coinbase Global|319.85|6.517251|||185| |MSTR|MSTR.O|Strategy|358.13|6.087446|||185| |BTBT|BTBT.O|Bit Digital|2.88|5.882353|||186| |BTDR|BTDR.O|Bitdeer|13.35|5.868358|||186| |CLSK|CLSK.O|CleanSpark|9.82|5.251875999999999|||186|