Is there LLY stock price going up next week
7/22/2025 03:01pm
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The deep research logic is organized as follows:
Okay, let's tackle this question about whether Eli Lilly (LLY) stock price will go up next week. The user is asking specifically about the next week, so I need to focus on the data and analysis relevant to that timeframe.
First, I'll check the references provided. The user mentioned the current time is 2025-07-22, so next week would be from 2025-07-23 to 2025-07-29.
Looking at the references, there's a Time-Series Price Trend Forecast (Reference 2) which shows a bearish trend for 25 days. The continuation probability is 67%, which is pretty high. That suggests the current downward trend might continue. However, the Support and Resistance analysis (Reference 3) indicates the stock is between narrow support and resistance levels, with a bullish price trend. The forecast advice is "Hold" with a swing trend, which is a bit conflicting.
The Trend Similarity-Based Price Forecast (Reference 4) provides specific price predictions for each day up to 2025-08-07. For the next week (2025-07-23 to 2025-07-29), the forecast prices range from around $773 to $782. The expected max gain is 19.35%, but the max loss is -19.96%, which is quite volatile. The trend forecast here is bullish, which contradicts the earlier bearish trend.
The earnings release date is on 2025-08-07 (Reference 1), which is after next week. However, earnings anticipation might influence the price leading up to that date. The recent news articles (References 5, 6, 8) mention the upcoming earnings and positive analyst expectations, like J.P. Morgan's $1,100 price target (Reference 7). But the Zacks Rank is a #4 (Sell), which is a negative sign.
The stock price on 2025-07-21 was $762.18 (Reference 9 and 21), and the next day (2025-07-22) it closed at the same price with a -1.23% change. The trading volume was 3.06 million shares, which is moderate.
The user's profile mentions interest in long-term growth and blue-chip stocks. Eli Lilly is a blue-chip in the pharmaceutical sector, so that aligns. The technical analysis from the references shows mixed signals: bearish trend continuation but bullish swing potential. The upcoming earnings could be a catalyst, but it's after next week.
Putting this together, the immediate next week might see some volatility. The trend similarity forecast suggests a bullish swing, but the time-series trend is bearish. The support and resistance levels are close, indicating possible range-bound trading. The earnings anticipation might cause some upward pressure, but the actual earnings are next week, so maybe the market starts reacting in the following week.
I need to present this as a balanced analysis, highlighting the conflicting indicators and the potential for a swing. The user is looking for a definitive answer, but the data shows mixed signals. The conclusion should reflect that while there's potential for an uptick, it's not certain and depends on several factors like earnings anticipation and market sentiment.
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**Conclusion** 📊
Based on the latest data and analysis, **Eli Lilly (LLY) stock has a mixed outlook for the next week (2025-07-23 to 2025-07-29)**. While there are bullish swing potential and positive analyst expectations, the current bearish trend and upcoming earnings uncertainty create conflicting signals. Here’s the breakdown:
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### 📊 **Key Analysis**
#### 1. **Price Trend Forecast**
- **Current Trend**: Bearish (25-day duration) with a 67% continuation probability .
- **Support/Resistance**: Stock is between narrow support ($769.94) and resistance ($800.73) levels, with a bullish price trend .
- **Trend Similarity**: Forecasted prices for next week range from **$773.51 to $782.07** (mean: $775.51) with a **19.35% upside potential** .
| Date | Forecast Price (Mean) | 34% CI (Range) | 68% CI (Range) |
|------------|-------------------------|-----------------------|-----------------------|
| 2025-07-23 | $773.51 | $732.65–$814.36 | $691.80–$814.36 |
| 2025-07-24 | $770.11 | $718.52–$821.70 | $666.93–$821.70 |
| 2025-07-25 | $772.96 | $720.87–$825.05 | $668.78–$825.05 |
| 2025-07-28 | $784.06 | $718.63–$849.50 | $653.19–$849.50 |
| 2025-07-29 | $782.07 | $715.89–$848.24 | $649.72–$848.24 |
#### 2. **Earnings Catalyst**
- **Earnings Release**: Scheduled for **2025-08-07** (before market open) .
- **Analyst Expectations**: EPS forecast of $5.55 (+41.58% YoY), revenue $14.53B (+28.53% YoY) .
- **Risks**: Zacks Rank #4 (Sell) and high Forward P/E (36.54x) vs. industry average (13.77x) .
#### 3. **Market Sentiment**
- **Recent Performance**: LLY closed at **$762.18** (2025-07-22) with a -1.23% daily change .
- **Analyst Activity**: No recent rating changes , but J.P. Morgan maintains an **Overweight** rating with a $1,100 price target .
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### 📊 **Conclusion**
LLY stock faces **mixed headwinds and tailwinds** for the next week:
- **Bullish Factors**: Potential swing breakout above $770, positive analyst sentiment, and upcoming earnings anticipation.
- **Bearish Factors**: Ongoing bearish trend, high valuation, and short-term volatility risks.
**Final Call**: **Hold** with a **neutral bias**, but monitor closely for breakout signals near $770–$780.