Is it good time to buy BLZE stock now?
6/6/2025 03:03am
**Conclusion**: Backblaze (BLZE) presents a cautiously optimistic short-term outlook, with potential for upside driven by positive revenue growth and strategic credit facility agreements. However, technical indicators and ongoing profitability challenges suggest a prudent approach is warranted.
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### 📈 **Positive Factors**
1. **Revenue Growth**: Backblaze reported a 15% year-over-year revenue growth in Q1 2025, with B2 Cloud Storage revenue growing by 23%. This demonstrates increasing demand for its services.
2. **Strategic Credit Facility**: The company secured a $20 million senior secured revolving credit facility, enhancing liquidity and supporting long-term growth. This move positions Backblaze well for potential strategic initiatives.
3. **Analyst Confidence**: Wall Street analysts have set a mean price target of $10.83, indicating a 90% upside potential from the current price. This suggests confidence in Backblaze’s future performance.
### 🤔 **Neutral to Negative Factors**
1. **Technical Indicators**: The stock’s RSI is at 62.52, indicating it may be **overbought**. The MACD is at 0.03, suggesting **potential momentum loss**.
|code|Ticker|Name|Date|Boll|RSI|KDJ|MACD|market_code|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|BLZE|BLZE.O|Backblaze|20250605|5.5753|62.5168|65.3083|0.0317|185|
2. **Earnings Challenges**: Despite revenue growth, Backblaze reported a net loss of $9.32 million, with a diluted EPS of -$0.17. Improving profitability remains a challenge.
|code|Ticker|Name|Date|Net Income YoY|Total Revenue YoY|Diluted EPS YoY|market_code|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|BLZE|BLZE.O|Backblaze|2024 Q2|27.82311501708865|27.231688966611085|39.02439024390244|185|
|BLZE|BLZE.O|Backblaze|2024 Q3|20.566801619433196|28.8153681963714|34.09090909090909|185|
|BLZE|BLZE.O|Backblaze|2024 Q4|-17.767038007863693|17.569683683056684||185|
|BLZE|BLZE.O|Backblaze|2025 Q1|15.64281190626979|15.49986652429258|37.03703703703704|185|
3. **Debt Levels**: The company has a moderate debt level, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.62. Monitoring debt management is crucial.
4. **Stock Valuation**: With a P/E ratio of 2.42 and a P/S ratio of 3.76, Backblaze’s valuation suggests the market is currently cautious. This could limit short-term upside.
### 📊 **Practical Considerations**
1. **Current Price vs. Analyst Targets**: Backblaze’s closing price of $5.895 on June 5, 2025, is below the analyst mean target of $10.83, indicating potential upside. However, reaching the analysts’ high estimate of $14 would require a significant market shift.
|code|Ticker|Name|Date|Closing Price|Percentage Change|Trading Volume|market_code|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|BLZE|BLZE.O|Backblaze|20250605|5.895|1.2886597938144206|184772|185|
2. **Moving Averages**: The stock is trading near its 20-day moving average of $5.58, with a 5-day moving average of $5.81. A breakout above these averages could signal further upside.
|code|Ticker|Name|Date|Moving Average|market_code|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|BLZE|BLZE.O|Backblaze|20250605|5.8050|185|
3. **Market Sentiment**: Positive sentiment is bolstered by a strong buy rating from analysts. However, the consensus price target suggests a more conservative outlook.
### 📇 **Final Verdict**
While Backblaze shows potential for growth, especially with its strategic financing and positive revenue trends, technical and fundamental challenges suggest a balanced approach is advisable. Investors should consider their risk tolerance and investment horizon, given the current mixed signals in the stock’s valuation and performance metrics. A cautious buy-and-hold strategy, closely monitoring the company’s profitability improvements and market valuation adjustments, could be prudent.