Is impp a good long term investment?
8/8/2024 12:06am
**Imperial Petroleum Inc. (IMPP) does not appear to be a strong long-term investment candidate**. Here's the analysis to support this conclusion:
1. **Financial Performance**: IMPP has experienced a significant decline in net income, with a year-on-year rate of -53.38% as of March 31, 2024. This is a clear negative indicator for any investment, as it suggests that the company is struggling to maintain profitability.
|Ticker|Name|Date|Total Revenue year-on-year growth rate|Diluted EPS QoQ growth rate|Net Income year-on-year growth rate|code|market_code|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|IMPP.O|Imperial|20240331|||-53.37992260799166|IMPP|186|
|IMPP.O|Imperial|20240331||||IMPP|186|
|IMPP.O|Imperial|20240331|-37.018362011363884|||IMPP|186|
2. **Revenue Trends**: The company's revenue has also declined, with a year-on-year rate of -37.02%. While revenue is not always a perfect indicator of financial health, a consistent decline in revenue over time is generally not a positive sign.
3. **Earnings Stability**: The diluted earnings per share (EPS) have shown a substantial drop of 63% over the past year. A company's inability to maintain or grow its earnings can be a red flag for long-term sustainability.
4. **Market Sentiment**: Despite a recent uptick in share price, the overall trend over the last year has been negative, with a return of only 27% including dividends. This is significantly below the average market return, which could suggest that the market does not have a positive outlook for the company's future performance.
5. **Analyst Ratings and Price Targets**: The consensus rating among analysts is not available, but the average price target is $106.58, with a high forecast of $114.99 and a low forecast of $92.99. This suggests that analysts have a mixed view on the stock's future performance, with some expecting a higher potential return, while others are more cautious.
|Ticker|Name|Date|Average Price Target|Consensus Rating|code|market_code|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|IMPP.O|Imperial|20240806|||IMPP|186|
|IMPP.O|Imperial|20240806|||IMPP|186|
6. **Dividend Yield**: The company has increased its dividend payment by 4%, which could be seen as a positive sign for income-focused investors. However, this needs to be weighed against the overall financial health of the company and the sustainability of the dividend payout.
7. **Operational Efficiency**: IMPP has strong gross, operating, and net margins, which indicate efficient use of resources and a healthy business model. However, these margins alone do not guarantee a good long-term investment.
|Ticker|Name|Date|Gross Profit Margin|Operating Profit Margin|Net Profit Margin|code|market_code|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|IMPP.O|Imperial|20240331||41.79681952997869||IMPP|186|
|IMPP.O|Imperial|20240331|||40.4206|IMPP|186|
|IMPP.O|Imperial|20240331|100|||IMPP|186|
In conclusion, while IMPP has some positive aspects, such as its dividend policy and margin efficiency, the significant declines in net income and revenue growth rates, along with the volatile earnings trend, suggest that the company is facing challenges that could impact its long-term investment potential. Investors should consider these factors carefully before making an investment decision.