Intrinsic value of Tesla, three months price prediction
11/15/2024 00:59am
**Tesla's intrinsic value appears robust**, with a P/E ratio of 82.53, a P/B ratio of 14.79, and a P/S ratio of 11.05, indicating that the market currently values the company's earnings at a premium compared to its book value and sales.
|Ticker|Name|Date|P/E(TTM)|code|market_code|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TSLA.O|Tesla|20240102|52.758398|TSLA|185|
|TSLA.O|Tesla|20240103|50.641011|TSLA|185|
|TSLA.O|Tesla|20240104|50.530576|TSLA|185|
|TSLA.O|Tesla|20240105|50.43713|TSLA|185|
|TSLA.O|Tesla|20240108|51.065763|TSLA|185|
|TSLA.O|Tesla|20240109|49.899819|TSLA|185|
|TSLA.O|Tesla|20240110|49.683196|TSLA|185|
|TSLA.O|Tesla|20240111|48.256031|TSLA|185|
|TSLA.O|Tesla|20240112|46.48694|TSLA|185|
|TSLA.O|Tesla|20240116|46.703564|TSLA|185|
|Ticker|Name|Date|Price to Book Ratio|code|market_code|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TSLA.O|Tesla|20240102|14.770277409049115|TSLA|185|
|TSLA.O|Tesla|20240104|14.146574768275727|TSLA|185|
|TSLA.O|Tesla|20240105|14.120413742351964|TSLA|185|
|TSLA.O|Tesla|20240108|14.296406098566377|TSLA|185|
|TSLA.O|Tesla|20240109|13.969987843290316|TSLA|185|
|TSLA.O|Tesla|20240110|13.909341828648861|TSLA|185|
|TSLA.O|Tesla|20240111|13.509791614540456|TSLA|185|
|TSLA.O|Tesla|20240112|13.014515828301912|TSLA|185|
|TSLA.O|Tesla|20240116|13.075161842943364|TSLA|185|
|TSLA.O|Tesla|20240117|12.8159298587897|TSLA|185|
|Ticker|Name|Date|P/S|code|market_code|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TSLA.O|Tesla|20240102|8.271384227078247|TSLA|185|
|TSLA.O|Tesla|20240103|7.939423431876692|TSLA|185|
|TSLA.O|Tesla|20240104|7.922109528817033|TSLA|185|
|TSLA.O|Tesla|20240105|7.907459303151167|TSLA|185|
|TSLA.O|Tesla|20240108|8.006015366721538|TSLA|185|
|TSLA.O|Tesla|20240109|7.823220505572437|TSLA|185|
|TSLA.O|Tesla|20240110|7.789258618801567|TSLA|185|
|TSLA.O|Tesla|20240111|7.565509717722886|TSLA|185|
|TSLA.O|Tesla|20240112|7.2881543090941046|TSLA|185|
|TSLA.O|Tesla|20240116|7.322116195864977|TSLA|185|
**Financial performance is strong**, with a 7.85% revenue growth rate, a 16.24% net income growth rate, and a 47.62% diluted EPS growth rate. These figures suggest that Tesla is not only growing its top line but also efficiently converting revenue into net income and diluted EPS.
|Ticker|Name|Date|Total Revenue YoY|Total Revenue|code|market_code|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TSLA.O|Tesla|2023 Q4|3.4912410560078952|2.5167E10|TSLA|185|
|TSLA.O|Tesla|2024 Q1|-8.69304299369883|2.1301E10|TSLA|185|
|TSLA.O|Tesla|2024 Q2|2.298712239740041|2.55E10|TSLA|185|
|TSLA.O|Tesla|2024 Q3|7.845824411134903|2.5182E10|TSLA|185|
|Ticker|Name|Date|Net Income YoY|Net Income|code|market_code|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TSLA.O|Tesla|2023 Q4|114.27029943350418|7.943E9|TSLA|185|
|TSLA.O|Tesla|2024 Q1|-54.9428909019299|1.144E9|TSLA|185|
|TSLA.O|Tesla|2024 Q2|-42.846212700841626|1.494E9|TSLA|185|
|TSLA.O|Tesla|2024 Q3|16.240681576144837|2.183E9|TSLA|185|
|Ticker|Name|Date|Diluted EPS YoY|Diluted EPS|code|market_code|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|TSLA.O|Tesla|2023 Q4|112.14953271028037|2.27|TSLA|185|
|TSLA.O|Tesla|2024 Q1|-53.42465753424656|0.34|TSLA|185|
|TSLA.O|Tesla|2024 Q2|-46.15384615384615|0.42|TSLA|185|
|TSLA.O|Tesla|2024 Q3|16.98113207547169|0.62|TSLA|185|
**Market sentiment is positive**, with institutional investors showing confidence in the stock, and analysts setting high price targets, such as Wedbush's Dan Ives, who increased his 12-month price target to $400. This optimism is partly driven by potential regulatory benefits and favorable policies under President Trump, which could support Tesla's autonomous driving and AI initiatives.
**However, there are risks to consider**, including the company's reliance on China for manufacturing and sales, which could be affected by potential tariffs. Additionally, the volatility in Tesla's stock price and the potential for regulatory challenges suggest that the intrinsic value may be subject to fluctuations.
**Given these factors, Tesla's stock price is likely to be supported in the near term**, with a bullish trend over the past 17 days and a continuation probability of 67% for this trend. However, investors should be aware of potential long-term risks and monitor any changes in market sentiment and regulatory environments.