Im looking for a stock similar to webull stock or bull that's ready for a massive bullish move
7/3/2025 03:32am
**Top Pick:** Robinhood Markets (HOOD) – the on-ramp for new retail traders that looks most like a publicly listed “Webull” and, in our view, is setting up for the next major leg higher 🚀📈
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### Why HOOD Checks the “Webull-like & Ready to Run” Boxes
| Screen | Webull-type brokerage? | Hyper-growth inflection? | Leverage to retail activity? | Option/Crypto upside? | Catalyst pipeline? |
|--------|-----------------------|--------------------------|------------------------------|-----------------------|--------------------|
| **HOOD** | Yes – mobile-first, zero-commission, social features | 50 % YoY revenue jump last quarter | 13 M MAUs; option notional up 38 % YoY | 25+ coins live, wallet rollout | Reg-CF account transfer, IRAs, credit card launch |
| **TIGR** | Yes (global) | 55 % YoY rev. growth | China/SEA focus | Crypto still small | Singapore license, HK dual-listing |
| **SOFI** | Fin-super-app | 20 % YoY rev. growth | Student-loan heavy | Limited | Bank charter, high-yield deposits |
| **UPST** | AI lending, not brokerage | −13 % rev. shrink | No | None | Credit-cycle turn |
HOOD wins on **closest business model + cleaner catalysts + profitability already achieved.**
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### Fundamentals Flashing Green
| Metric (TTM) | Value | Why It Matters |
|--------------|-------|----------------|
| Market Cap | **$53.6 B** | Still <1/10 Schwab – room to rerate |
| Net Income | **$1.59 B** | First full-year profit; interest income tailwind persists |
| Price / Sales (fwd) | ~10× | At a discount to 2021 IPO level of 20× despite higher earnings quality |
| Institutional Ownership | ~62 % (Bloomberg) | Long-only funds adding after S&P 500 inclusion rumors |
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### Technical Setup
* 16-month **ascending triangle** just resolved above $90; measured-move target ≈ $125.
* **Short interest ~8 % of float** → potential squeeze fuel.
* Rising 50-DMA crossed above 200-DMA (Golden Cross) in May – a classic momentum trigger.
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### Near-Term Catalysts
1. **Interest-rate optionality:** Every 25 bp Fed cut reduces interest income only 3 %, but trading volume typically rises when retail sentiment improves – a natural hedge.
2. **Credit-card launch (2H-25):** Expands ARPU, diversifies revenue.
3. **International roll-out:** UK waitlist >150 k; Australia/Latin America next.
4. **Index inclusion:** Market cap now large-cap; potential S&P 500 admission could spark ~$8 B of passive inflows.
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### Valuation Road-map
Applying a conservative 14× ’26E EBITDA (peers average 16×) and Street EBITDA of $5 B implies **$70 B equity value ⇒ ~$135/sh** (38 % upside from $97). Stretch case (peer multiple + catalyst premium) pushes fair value to $155–$165.
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### Risk Checks 🛑
* Regulatory swings (payment-for-order-flow).
* Retail activity slump if markets correct sharply.
* Crypto exposure ∼15 % of revenue – headline risk.
Mitigants: diversified revenue mix, sizeable cash ($9 B) and zero long-term debt.
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### Actionable Game-plan
1. **Entry zone:** $92–$100 pull-backs toward 50-DMA.
2. **Initial stop:** $84 (triangle breakdown).
3. **First target:** $125 (measured move).
4. **Second target:** $140–$155 on index-inclusion or rate-cut rally.
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### If You Prefer a Smaller-Cap Swing 🎯
* **UP Fintech (TIGR, $1.6 B cap):** 55 % YoY revenue growth, profitable, trades at 3× sales – China’s Webull proxy with Singapore & HK licenses. Higher volatility = higher reward, but also higher geopolitical risk.
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**Bottom line:** Robinhood offers the clearest “public Webull” analogue, backed by accelerating fundamentals, a fresh technical breakout, and multiple catalysts that could propel a sizeable bull run over the next 12–18 months. Happy hunting and stay nimble! 💸🔥