Im holding docu avgo iot giii mtn call optiosn for earnings do a detailed research if i should sell or keep them will the price go up or down after earnings and how will the price move tomorrow at market opening
6/5/2025 11:20pm
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The deep research logic is organized as follows:
Okay, let's tackle this user's question. They're holding call options for DOCU, AVGO, IOT, GIII, and MTN, and they want to know whether to sell or keep them based on earnings. The user is interested in the Military and Trump sectors, but their current holdings are in tech and consumer discretionary stocks. Hmm, maybe they're diversifying or have a different strategy here.
First, I need to check the references provided. The user mentioned call options, so implied volatility and price targets are key. Let's look at each stock one by one.
Starting with Broadcom (AVGO). The references show multiple price targets around $250-$300, with the current price around $263. The average target is $251.70, which is below the current price. The user's options are likely at-the-money or slightly in-the-money. The article mentions a 6.5% expected move, which could be up to $273 or down to $240. Since the user is holding calls, a downside move would hurt, but the average target is lower, suggesting potential downside risk. However, Broadcom has beaten estimates before, so maybe there's upside if they exceed again.
Next, DocuSign (DOCU). The earnings estimate is $727.2M revenue, and the post-market price is $93.86. There's no analyst target in the references, but the user's options are likely based on this price. If they beat estimates, the price might go up, but without targets, it's harder to gauge. The user's interest in call options here might be speculative.
Samsara (IOT) has an average price target of $49.27, with the current price at $47.03. The target is slightly above, suggesting potential upside. However, the revenue estimate is $289.53M, and if they miss, the price could drop. The user's options here might have some upside potential if they beat estimates.
G-III Apparel (GIII) has a neutral rating with a price target around $29. The current price is $28.4, so the target is slightly above. However, the company has a history of beating EPS estimates 88% of the time, which could lead to a positive move. The user's options might benefit if they exceed expectations again.
Vail Resorts (MTN) has a price target of $174.88, but the current price is $156.01. The average target is higher, suggesting upside. However, the company has missed revenue estimates five times in the last two years, which could lead to a downside risk. The user's options here might be at risk if they miss again.
Putting this all together, the user is holding a mix of stocks with varying upside and downside potentials. Broadcom and Samsara have higher price targets, but Broadcom's average target is below current price. G-III has a history of beating estimates, which could be a positive. DocuSign is a wildcard without clear targets. Vail Resorts has a high target but a history of missing estimates.
The user's strategy seems to be based on earnings surprises. For each stock, I need to assess the likelihood of beating estimates and the potential price movement. Broadcom and G-III have strong track records, so their calls might be worth keeping. DocuSign and Samsara are uncertain. Vail Resorts has a high target but a