I increased my position in Joby and for now, I will sell Archer with profit and wait. Is that ok?
7/22/2025 07:13am
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The deep research logic is organized as follows:
Okay, let's tackle this question. The user has increased their position in Joby Aviation and is considering selling Archer Aviation for profit, waiting to see how things unfold. They want to know if this strategy is okay.
First, I need to look at the recent data and background provided. Archer's stock dropped due to a lawsuit and Stellantis' financial issues. Joby, on the other hand, has been performing well with production expansions and FAA progress. The user is interested in the flying car industry and prefers long-term, high-profit investments. They focus on technical analysis and are willing to hold for the long term.
So, the user's strategy makes sense in the short term because Archer's legal issues and funding risks could lead to more volatility. Selling to lock in profits and wait for clarity is a prudent move. Joby's stronger position in certification and partnerships with Toyota gives it an edge. However, the user should keep an eye on Archer's operational milestones and any positive developments that might present a buying opportunity later. Also, considering the user's interest in high-profit sectors, maybe suggesting other ETFs or related stocks could be beneficial. Need to structure the answer with clear points, using the provided data to support the analysis, and ensure it aligns with the user's investment style and preferences.
```
### 🚨 **Conclusion**
Your strategy to **sell Archer Aviation (ACHR)** for profit and **hold Joby Aviation (JOBY)** is **strategically sound** given the current market dynamics and competitive landscape. Here’s why:
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### 📊 **Why Sell Archer Now?**
#### 1. **Legal Uncertainty**
- Archer faces a shareholder lawsuit alleging misrepresentation during its SPAC merger . The Delaware Chancery Court allowed the suit to proceed, creating regulatory and financial risks.
- If Archer loses, it could face **reputational damage** and **financial penalties**, impacting its ability to secure future funding or partnerships.
#### 2. **Funding Risks**
- Major backer **Stellantis** reported a $2.68 billion loss in H1 2025 , raising concerns about its ability to continue supporting Archer. Stellantis has already invested $254 million in Archer , but its financial struggles could lead to reduced backing.
#### 3. **Competition Pressure**
- Joby Aviation is **ahead in certification** (Stage 4 of FAA process) , while Archer’s timeline is uncertain due to legal distractions. Joby’s partnership with **Toyota** ($500 million investment) gives it a **manufacturing edge**.
---
### 🚀 **Why Hold Joby?**
#### 1. **Operational Momentum**
- Joby has **doubled production capacity** in California and completed **successful test flights in Dubai** . It aims for **FAA certification by 2026** .
- Joby’s **$131 million U.S. Air Force contract** and **$250 million Toyota tranche** provide **cash flow stability**.
#### 2. **Strategic Partnerships**
- Joby’s collaboration with **Virgin Atlantic** and **Dubai’s Roads and Transport Authority** positions it for **commercial launches in 2026**.
- Toyota’s **manufacturing expertise** ensures **scalable production** and **quality control**.
#### 3. **Market Leadership**
- Joby’s **$9.13 billion market cap** reflects its **technical lead** over Archer ($8.3 billion) . Analysts project **25% upside** for Joby , while Archer faces **rating downgrades** .
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### 📉 **Risks to Monitor**
#### 1. **Archer’s Comeback Potential**
- Archer’s **$6 billion order book** and **$1.03 billion in cash** give it **operational resilience**. If the lawsuit is resolved favorably, Archer could regain momentum.
- Archer’s **exclusive partnership with Abu Dhabi** and **$20 million UAE contract** could offset short-term risks.
#### 2. **Joby’s Valuation**
- Joby trades at a **premium** (P/S ratio = 15x 2027 revenue) , making it **vulnerable to market corrections**. However, its **long-term growth trajectory** justifies the premium.
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### 🎯 **Final Take**
Your decision to **sell Archer** and **hold Joby** is **aligned with your long-term, high-profit strategy**. Joby’s **operational clarity**, **strategic partnerships**, and **market leadership** make it a safer bet for now. However, keep an eye on Archer’s **legal resolution** and **operational milestones**—if the lawsuit is dismissed or Archer secures new funding, it could present a **buy opportunity** at lower prices.
**Stay patient, and let the market validate your thesis!** 🚀