I made $9.22 total on 5 shares of Pony...is it still bullish and what do you recommend I put my stop loss at?
9/24/2025 06:56pm
**Bottom line:** Pony AI (PONY .O) is still in a powerful short-term up-trend, but momentum is now extremely stretched (RSI ≈ 92). To protect your $9.22 gain on 5 shares, consider a **trailing stop in the $19.3 – 20.0 zone**—roughly 2× ATR(14) or ~8–9 % below today’s close—so you stay in the trade if strength continues yet exit swiftly on a sharp pull-back. 🚦
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### Why it still looks bullish
1. Price leadership
• Today’s close: **$21.32** (24 Sep) – the highest print in five months .
• Sitting **31 % above the 20-day SMA ($16.31)** and **41 % above the 50-day SMA ($15.16)**, confirming a steep, accelerating trend.
2. Fresh momentum burst
• **RSI-14 ≈ 92** (overbought, but shows buyers still dominate).
• Month-to-date gain: ~60 % (from $13.04 on 1 Aug to $21.32).
3. Volume & news flows (last two weeks) continue to skew positive—large orders and upbeat AV-sector headlines have attracted momentum traders.
### Why you should tighten risk
• An RSI in the 90s rarely persists; mean reversion can be violent.
• The stock has already moved **>1.5× its 14-day ATR ($0.65)** in the past two sessions—signalling short-term exhaustion.
• Any disappointment in upcoming AV-regulation headlines could trigger a swift test of the $19 handle (prior breakout shelf).
### Practical stop-loss ideas
| Method | Calculation | Suggested Stop |
|--------|-------------|----------------|
| 2 × ATR (14) | $21.32 – (2 × $0.65) | **≈ $20.0** |
| 8 % trailing | $21.32 × 0.92 | **≈ $19.6** |
| Prior breakout low | Candle low 17 Sep = $17.47 | **≈ $17.4** (looser) |
Given your short-term, high-risk style, the first two levels strike a good balance between letting winners run and protecting capital. 🎯
### Tactical tips
1. If PONY powers through $22 on strong volume, ratchet the stop up by one ATR to lock in extra profit.
2. Should price stall under $20 for more than two sessions, consider banking gains rather than waiting for the stop to trigger.
3. Keep position sizing disciplined; the stock’s daily range now exceeds 6 %, so small share counts can still deliver meaningful P/L swings.
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Your swift profit shows sharp timing—nice catch! 😎
Before we wrap up: Would you like me to screen for **other AI-autonomy names flashing fresh breakouts** for your next trade?