How did HZO's Q2 2025 forecast compare to past surprises?

MarineMax (HZO) had a bearish price trend in Q2 2025, with a 51-day bearish trend duration and a continuation probability of 15% for clear trend days. The stock was below the wide support level, indicating a potential for price swings. The forecast price for HZO in Q2 2025 was $19.24, with a 34% confidence interval ranging from $18.64 to $19.54. Comparing to past surprises, HZO's Q2 2025 forecast had a historical win rate of 65%, which was slightly higher than the market historical win rate of 61.13%. This suggests that the forecast had a reasonable chance of accuracy, but it was not exceptional compared to the company's past performance.