How might WMT's revenue trends influence future earnings guidance?
5/7/2025 04:51pm
**Walmart's revenue trends are likely to influence future earnings guidance in several ways**:
1. **Historical Context**: Walmart's revenue growth rate has been relatively stable over the past three years, with a slight increase from 0.07% in 2023Q4 to 0.06% in 2024Q4, and most recently to 0.05% in 2025Q4. This consistent, albeit modest, growth trajectory suggests a stable business environment, which could inform more conservative earnings guidance.
|code|Ticker|Name|Date|Total Revenue YoY|Total Revenue|market_code|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|WMT|WMT.N|Walmart|2023 Q1|2.356301062829875|1.41569E11|169|
|WMT|WMT.N|Walmart|2023 Q2|8.373745108048324|1.52859E11|169|
|WMT|WMT.N|Walmart|2023 Q3|8.744351538872088|1.52813E11|169|
|WMT|WMT.N|Walmart|2023 Q4|7.311393266217922|1.64048E11|169|
|WMT|WMT.N|Walmart|2024 Q1|7.5807556739116615|1.52301E11|169|
|WMT|WMT.N|Walmart|2024 Q2|5.73927606487024|1.61632E11|169|
|WMT|WMT.N|Walmart|2024 Q3|5.229267143502189|1.60804E11|169|
|WMT|WMT.N|Walmart|2024 Q4|5.693455573978348|1.73388E11|169|
|WMT|WMT.N|Walmart|2025 Q1|6.045265625307779|1.61508E11|169|
|WMT|WMT.N|Walmart|2025 Q2|4.765764205107899|1.69335E11|169|
2. **Current Performance**: The most recent reported revenue growth rate was 4.13% for 2025Q4, with total revenues reaching $180.55 billion. This strong performance could lead to more optimistic earnings guidance, as the company may anticipate continued growth momentum.
3. **Earnings Projection**: Walmart's estimated EPS for the upcoming quarter (2025Q4) is $0.64, which is slightly below the most recent diluted EPS of $0.65. This slight dip could indicate that the company is being cautious in its earnings guidance, acknowledging potential challenges or fluctuations in market conditions.
4. **Market Conditions**: The impact of market conditions and company spending on earnings guidance is significant. Given the current economic uncertainty and increased costs due to inflation, Walmart's guidance may reflect a more conservative outlook to account for these variables.
5. **Analyst Expectations**: Investors and analysts often look at revenue as a key indicator of a company's financial health. Walmart's consistent revenue growth may influence analysts to maintain or slightly increase their earnings projections, assuming that the company's performance will continue to reflect stable growth.
In conclusion, Walmart's revenue trends suggest a company that is performing well but is also mindful of potential challenges. This balance is likely to influence future earnings guidance, with the company potentially providing more optimistic projections due to recent revenue strength, while remaining cautious due to economic uncertainties and the need to manage inflationary pressures.