How does NCNO's Q1 2026 EPS forecast compare to past trends?

NCino's Q1 2026 EPS forecast is below the company's historical average and past trends, indicating a potential downturn in the upcoming quarter. 1. **Comparison to Historical Average**: NCino's Q1 2026 EPS forecast ranges from $0.15 to $0.16, compared to the historical average EPS of approximately $0.19 over the past three years. This suggests a decline in earnings per share from the previous quarter's performance. 2. **Trend Analysis**: The company's EPS has shown a decreasing trend over the past three years, with Q1 2024 EPS being $0.23, Q1 2025 EPS being $0.20, and the Q1 2026 forecast being $0.15 to $0.16. This downward trajectory indicates a potential continuation of the declining trend in the upcoming quarter. 3. **Market Sentiment and Forecasts**: Analysts' average one-year price targets for NCino Inc (NCNO) suggest a significant potential upside of 87.27% from the current stock price. However, the company's stock has experienced a significant drop after the Q1 and FY2026 guidance was issued, indicating a cautious market sentiment regarding the forecasted earnings. |code|Ticker|Name|Date|Diluted EPS (FY) YoY|Diluted EPS (FY)|market_code| |---|---|---|---|---|---|---| |NCNO|NCNO.O|Ncino|2023|-82.3529411764706|-0.93|185| |NCNO|NCNO.O|Ncino|2024|59.13978494623656|-0.38|185| |NCNO|NCNO.O|Ncino|2025|13.157894736842103|-0.33|185| In conclusion, NCino's Q1 2026 EPS forecast is below the company's historical average and past trends, reflecting a likely continuation of the recent downturn in earnings.