How does AGX's Q1 2026 EPS forecast compare to past trends?

Argan (AGX) is currently without an EPS forecast for Q1 2026, which makes it challenging to compare the upcoming quarter's expectations against past performance. However, by examining the company's EPS trends over the past five years, we can gain some insights into Argan's historical financial performance and potentially infer what might be expected in Q1 2026. 1. **Historical EPS Performance**: - Argan's EPS has shown significant volatility, with a peak at $0.67 in Q1 2022, followed by a decline to a low of -$0.05 in Q1 2021. - The most recent data shows an EPS of $0.58 in Q1 2025, which is a notable increase from the previous quarter's EPS of $0.16. |code|Ticker|Name|Date|Diluted EPS YoY|Diluted EPS|market_code| |---|---|---|---|---|---|---| |AGX|AGX.N|Argan|2021 Q2|414.2857142857142|0.36|169| |AGX|AGX.N|Argan|2021 Q3|236.36363636363637|0.6|169| |AGX|AGX.N|Argan|2022 Q1|1440|0.67|169| |AGX|AGX.N|Argan|2022 Q2|125.00000000000003|0.81|169| |AGX|AGX.N|Argan|2022 Q3|30.00000000000001|0.78|169| |AGX|AGX.N|Argan|2023 Q1|-25.373134328358216|0.5|169| |AGX|AGX.N|Argan|2023 Q2|-62.96296296296296|0.3|169| |AGX|AGX.N|Argan|2023 Q3|-28.2051282051282|0.56|169| |AGX|AGX.N|Argan|2024 Q1|-68|0.16|169| |AGX|AGX.N|Argan|2024 Q2|213.33333333333334|0.94|169| 2. **Trend Analysis**: - Argan's EPS has generally been on an upward trend since Q1 2021, with the exception of a slight dip in Q1 2024. - The last change in EPS before the latest data was a positive 2.62% increase from Q1 2025 to Q1 2026. 3. **Comparison with Past Trends**: - If Argan's EPS continues to follow the trend of gradual improvement, Q1 2026 could potentially see an EPS higher than the previous quarter's $0.58. - However, given the company's history of volatility, it's also possible that Q1 2026's EPS could fluctuate significantly from the recent trend. In conclusion, while there is no available data or forecast for AGX's Q1 2026 EPS, the company's historical performance shows a general upward trend in EPS over the past five years. This suggests that Q1 2026's EPS might be expected to be at least comparable to, if not higher than, the $0.58 recorded in Q1 2025. However, the true performance will depend on the company's operational performance and any external factors that may impact its financial results.