How did HNST's Q1 2025 EPS forecast compare to past trends?
4/12/2025 07:13pm
The Honest Company's (HNST) Q1 2025 EPS forecast is not currently available. However, we can analyze the company's recent financial performance and trends to provide insights into what the forecast might imply.
1. **Recent Financial Performance**:
- HNST reported a Q4 2024 EPS of -$0.01, which beat analyst expectations of -$0.02.
- The company's revenue for Q4 2024 was $99.84 million, surpassing the consensus estimate of $96.34 million.
2. **Trends and Forecast**:
- HNST's EPS has shown improvement from -$0.42 in Q4 2023 to -$0.06 in Q4 2024.
- The company's revenue has increased by 11% year-over-year in Q4 2024, reaching $100 million.
|code|Ticker|Name|Date|Diluted EPS (FY) YoY|Diluted EPS (FY)|market_code|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|HNST|HNST.O|The Honest|2020|53.2608695652174|-0.43|185|
|HNST|HNST.O|The Honest|2021|0|-0.43|185|
|HNST|HNST.O|The Honest|2022|-23.25581395348838|-0.53|185|
|HNST|HNST.O|The Honest|2023|20.75471698113208|-0.42|185|
|HNST|HNST.O|The Honest|2024|85.71428571428571|-0.06|185|
|code|Ticker|Name|Date|Diluted EPS YoY|Diluted EPS|market_code|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|HNST|HNST.O|The Honest|2024 Q1|95|-0.01|185|
|HNST|HNST.O|The Honest|2024 Q2|71.42857142857143|-0.04|185|
|HNST|HNST.O|The Honest|2024 Q3|100|0|185|
3. **Market Outlook and Forecasts**:
- Analysts expect HNST to post EPS of $0.02 for the full year 2025, with a revenue forecast of $96.46 million for Q1 2025.
- The company's guidance for adjusted EBITDA for 2025 is $27 million to $30 million.
4. **Strategic Initiatives and Future Outlook**:
- HNST has seen a 10% increase in full-year revenue and a 900 basis point expansion in gross margins in 2024.
- The company anticipates revenue growth of 4% to 6% in 2025, which is in line with its long-term financial algorithm.
5. **Comparing Forecasts to Past Performance**:
- The EPS forecast for Q1 2025 is not directly comparable to past trends since the forecast is not available. However, the company's recent improvement in EPS from -$0.42 to -$0.06 suggests a potential for positive EPS in Q1 2025.
- The revenue forecast for Q1 2025 is based on a 4% to 6% growth, which is lower than the 10% growth achieved in 2024. This could imply a more conservative outlook for the upcoming quarter.
In conclusion, while the exact EPS forecast for Q1 2025 is not available, the company's recent positive financial performance and strategic initiatives suggest that the forecast may show improvement in EPS compared to the previous year. However, the anticipated growth rate for 2025 is lower than the growth rate achieved in 2024, indicating a more cautious outlook for the upcoming quarter.