How did HG's Q1 2025 EPS forecast compare to past surprises?

Hamilton Insurance (HG) is expected to report an EPS of $0.05 for Q1 2025, which represents a significant 96.38% decline from the same quarter of the previous year. This forecast compares to the company's historical performance and market expectations. 1. **Comparison to Historical Performance**: - HG's Q1 2025 EPS forecast represents a substantial decrease from the previous year's EPS. This indicates a challenging quarter for the company, potentially due to market conditions, business strategy, or industry trends. - The forecasted EPS of $0.05 is a sharp decline from the previous year's EPS, suggesting that the company may have faced unexpected challenges or operational setbacks. 2. **Comparison to Market Expectations**: - The market has adjusted its expectations downward, with the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate moving 0.81% lower over the past 30 days. This reflects broader market sentiment and analysts' revised views on HG's performance. - The current Zacks Rank of #4 (Sell) suggests that analysts are cautious about HG's short-term prospects, indicating a potential need for caution for investors. In conclusion, HG's Q1 2025 EPS forecast represents a significant decline from the previous year, and it is important for investors to consider both the company's historical performance and the current market expectations when evaluating the stock. The forecast suggests that HG may face a challenging quarter, and investors should monitor the company's performance closely.